As expected, The Super Mario Galaxy Movie is on track for the biggest opening of the year. According to Deadline, the film seems likely to hit $129 million over the weekend and $188.5 million for the five-day holiday. While those are great numbers, as we predicted earlier this week, it’s not going to crack the $200 million mark, with it coming in just shy of the $204 million the last Super Mario movie made over the Easter holiday in 2023.

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