Markets, Meditations, and Mental Models

Brief: The Option to Be Wrong Just Got Expensive


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Two things happened this week that cannot both be right. The market spent the week selling semiconductors, first on TSMC's best quarter and then on a Chinese open-source model rivaling US frontier benchmarks, which is what it looks like when the marginal seller is pricing doubt about how long AI spe
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Markets, Meditations, and Mental ModelsBy Cosmic Trex