Canada’s Housing Reality Check: Prices, Rents, and What Breaks Next

The Canadian real estate market isn’t crashing… but it isn’t healing either.

In Episode 4, Greg & Luka zoom out and connect the dots between housing prices, new construction, rental markets, interest rates, and government policy to answer one big question:

Where is this actually going?

We break down:

• Why Ottawa’s market looks “stable” on the surface but feels fragile underneath

• The widening gap between what Canada needs to build and what’s actually getting built

• Why condos are stalling while freehold homes remain stubbornly resilient

• How rising inventory, stalled pre-construction, and investor pullback are reshaping the market

• What falling rents in Toronto and Vancouver really mean for the rest of Canada

• Why renewals in mid-2026 could become the next pressure point

• How affordability, taxes, and red tape are quietly pushing Canadians out of major cities

This isn’t hype. It’s data, context, and straight talk about what buyers, sellers, investors, and renters are walking into over the next 12 to 24 months.

If you’re trying to make sense of Canada’s housing future without the noise, this episode is for you.

Timestamps:

00:00 – Introduction

00:28 – 2025 Year-End Stats for Ottawa

01:47 – Price Breakdown by Property Type

03:49 – 2026 Market Predictions

06:00 – New Construction Crisis

09:05 – Why We’re Not Building Enough

12:08 – Toronto Market Collapse

19:31 – Urban Migration Trends

29:55 – Rental Market Cooling

33:37 – New Rental Buildings in Orleans

38:55 – Rental Price Trends Across Canada

41:13 – Investor Challenges & Mortgage Renewals

43:59 – Closing Thoughts

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Real Estate Reality — no fluff, just the truth.