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CAVA CRASH:10% After Earnings — Falling Knife or 50% Off Setup CAVA Stock Analysis DCF + Buy Level
CAVA just dropped ~10% after earnings on slowing same‑store sales and lowered guidance — despite beating on EPS and revenue. Is this a real opportunity or a classic falling knife? I break down the narrative, run a quick DCF vs PEG, and share my buy zones.
What happened: EPS/rev beat, but growth narrative cracked on SSS slowdown and guidance trim.
Numbers that matter: 398 stores, ~$954.3M TTM revenue, margin context, and why a 3% SSS delta can hit operating earnings double‑digits.
Valuation check: DCF base vs narrative case ($56.89 → ~$47.22), PEG cross‑check (~$58.75), current price context (~$84.50).
Buy levels I’m watching and what would change my mind.
Risk lens: What could go right (traffic/mix/unit growth) vs wrong (promo intensity, cost creep, comp deceleration).
This is not financial advice. Do your own research.
Hashtags: #CAVA #CAVAStock #Earnings #StockMarket #Investing #DCF #RestaurantStocks
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By Dave JonesCAVA just dropped ~10% after earnings on slowing same‑store sales and lowered guidance — despite beating on EPS and revenue. Is this a real opportunity or a classic falling knife? I break down the narrative, run a quick DCF vs PEG, and share my buy zones.
What happened: EPS/rev beat, but growth narrative cracked on SSS slowdown and guidance trim.
Numbers that matter: 398 stores, ~$954.3M TTM revenue, margin context, and why a 3% SSS delta can hit operating earnings double‑digits.
Valuation check: DCF base vs narrative case ($56.89 → ~$47.22), PEG cross‑check (~$58.75), current price context (~$84.50).
Buy levels I’m watching and what would change my mind.
Risk lens: What could go right (traffic/mix/unit growth) vs wrong (promo intensity, cost creep, comp deceleration).
This is not financial advice. Do your own research.
Hashtags: #CAVA #CAVAStock #Earnings #StockMarket #Investing #DCF #RestaurantStocks