In this video, I explain why the Puddle Analogy against the Fine-tuning Argument for God fails (on multiple levels).

#1: The likelihood principle says that “if some evidence is more likely on Hypothesis 1 than Hypothesis 2, then that evidence confirms Hypothesis 1 over Hypothesis 2.” Here’s a quick example: suppose you’re playing Poker and the guy to your left has been dealt a Royal Flush the last 5 hands. Being dealt 5 Royal Flushes in a row is likely on the hypothesis that he’s cheating and unlikely on the hypothesis that he’s not cheating. This fact therefore provides evidence that he’s cheating over not cheating. And btw, anybody actually in that situation would (without a doubt) suspect that he’s cheating.

#2: See number three at this website: http://home.messiah.edu/~rcollins/Fine-tuning/FT.HTM

#3: https://youtu.be/58brbYwN0Q0

#4: (Same link as #3) https://youtu.be/58brbYwN0Q0

#5: Universes by John Leslie: https://amzn.to/2E4PrWP

Link to the YouTube Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MXCo0a9KBIw

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