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Churchill Downs Oaks & Derby Picks: Longshots, Pace Trips, and WPS Plays
Quick-hit picks for Churchill Downs: in the Kentucky Oaks I like #12 Bella Ballerina (≈12-1) as the top pick with a stalking trip, plus #4 Counting Stars and #11 Percys Bar. For the Kentucky Derby the price play is #7 Danon Bourbon (≈20-1) with #15 Emerging Market and #6 Commandment as strong secondary choices—trip and pace shape will decide it.
Play mainly WPS for value and build exotics around the pace picture: use speed types underneath and look for stalkers/closers to pass late. Early-race notes: Race 5 #1 Genuine Star, Race 6 #10 Forty Love, Race 7 #5 Sherbini, Race 8 #7 Gerlin’s Empire. Cashin’ with the Wolf — it’s howling time.
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By aztecprideracingllcQuick-hit picks for Churchill Downs: in the Kentucky Oaks I like #12 Bella Ballerina (≈12-1) as the top pick with a stalking trip, plus #4 Counting Stars and #11 Percys Bar. For the Kentucky Derby the price play is #7 Danon Bourbon (≈20-1) with #15 Emerging Market and #6 Commandment as strong secondary choices—trip and pace shape will decide it.
Play mainly WPS for value and build exotics around the pace picture: use speed types underneath and look for stalkers/closers to pass late. Early-race notes: Race 5 #1 Genuine Star, Race 6 #10 Forty Love, Race 7 #5 Sherbini, Race 8 #7 Gerlin’s Empire. Cashin’ with the Wolf — it’s howling time.