Daily Cocoa Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark

Cocoa Crash: Why Your Chocolate Bar Just Got Cheaper and What Traders Should Do Next


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This is your Daily Cocoa Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark podcast.

Hey friends, welcome back to Daily Cocoa Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark. Im Vanessa, and today were diving into the latest on cocoa prices, whats driving the market, and some smart tips to help you stay ahead.

Right now, the March ICE New York cocoa futures are sitting at around 4979 dollars per tonne, down over 2 percent from yesterday and hitting a 23-month low according to Trading Economics. London cocoa is also sliding, down about 2.3 percent to match that pressure. Prices have dropped nearly 17 percent in the past month alone, after a wild 2025 where they fell 48 percent overall.

Weak global demand is the big story. The European Cocoa Association reports Q4 grindings plunged 8.3 percent year-over-year to 304 thousand metric tons, the lowest in 12 years and way below expectations. Full-year European grindings hit a decade low at 1.3 million tonnes. Asian grindings are eyeing a 12 percent drop too. Cocoa Intel calls this a clear demand surprise fueling the sell-off.

On the supply side, good news for growers in Ivory Coast and Ghana. Favorable weather means bigger, healthier pods, with pod counts 7 percent above average per Mondelez. Ivory Coast main crop harvest is underway, though port arrivals are down 2.6 to 3.4 percent so far this season. ICCO sees a small 2024-25 surplus of 49 thousand tonnes after last years huge deficit.

What does this mean for you? If youre a chocolate lover or trader, watch upcoming North American and Asian grindings data. Prices might stabilize on tight near-term supply, but soft demand could keep them low. Tip: Diversify into cocoa-related stocks or ETFs if you think supply rebounds, but hold off buying futures until demand picks up. Stay informed to spot buying opportunities around 4800 dollars.

Thanks for tuning in, friends. Subscribe, share with your cocoa crew, and catch you next time on Daily Cocoa Price Tracker!

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Daily Cocoa Price Tracker with Vanessa ClarkBy Inception Point Ai