Israel misjudged Iran; Iran showed restraint; conflict may reshape both nations.
Nima Rostami Alkhorshid:
- What is your assessment of the recent Israeli attack on Iran and its implications?
- How do you evaluate the initial lack of response from Iran's air defense systems?
- Do you believe Israel underestimated Iran’s military capabilities in this conflict?
- How significant is the role of Western support for separatist movements inside Iran?
- What impact could this conflict have on Israeli society and its political leadership?
Col. Jacques Baud:
- The initial hours of the attack suggest a tactical approach by Israel, aiming to identify and target Iranian defenses. However, Iran’s measured response indicates resilience and strategic planning.
- There may have been deliberate delays in activating certain defense systems to avoid revealing their full capabilities early in the attack.
- Yes, Israel likely overestimated its technological superiority while underestimating Iran’s ability to respond effectively and calibrated its retaliation carefully.
- Separatist movements supported by the West pose a potential threat, but they are unlikely to destabilize Iran significantly due to strong national unity during crises.
- The societal impact in Israel could be profound as civilians now experience war firsthand, potentially leading to internal pressure for policy changes, though radicalization remains a risk.
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