As the world scrambles to rein in the coronavirus that causes COVID-19, a study published last week by the Brookings Institute said if past pandemics such as the Spanish Flu and the Hong Kong Flu are any guide, as many as 15 million may die, even in a mild scenario, wiping more than US$5 trillion from global GDP. Warwick McKibbin of the Australian National University said that the deaths and the disruption will centre on jurisdictions with limited coordination between government agencies and poor health care services. Mr McKibbin spoke with Jeff from Canberra.

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