This episode provides a focused update on the global canola market as of November 16, 2025

• Germany has expanded its winter rapeseed cultivation to between 1.1 and 1.15 million hectares, an increase of up to 60,000 hectares since 2025. This growth is driven by favorable yields from the prior year and beneficial weather in late summer. While overall crop health is reported as good to excellent, pest management challenges have emerged due to rising resistance in rapeseed weevils, prompting calls for faster registration of new crop protection products. Despite isolated reseeding requirements, high harvest expectations for 2026 persist, assuming adequate rainfall and sunshine.
• In Russia, winter rapeseed sowing has exceeded expectations, reaching 764,000 hectares, a year-over-year increase of 58,000 hectares. Notable growth occurred in the Central Federal District, which reported a 12 percent rise in planted area since 2024.
• Pakistan’s approval of genetically modified canola imports marks a significant advancement for international trade. The move, celebrated by Grain Trade Australia and the Australian Oilseeds Federation, opens expanded access for Australian exporters. Annual canola imports into Pakistan have surpassed 500,000 tons over the past five years. This regulatory change coincides with a slight increase in Australia’s canola production forecast to 6.4 million tons, supporting market stability. However, specific import procedures for genetically modified canola are still being finalized.
• Canada continues to face export difficulties with China due to retaliatory duties tied to political tensions. China’s block on Canadian canola followed Canada’s imposition of high tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles. This trade barrier has disrupted a bilateral trade relationship valued at over 4.9 billion Canadian dollars. Although diplomatic discussions are ongoing, full market access has yet to be restored.
• In Ukraine, sowing conditions in the Odessa region have been favorable. Canola planting is nearly complete, and winter wheat and barley sowing has reached 67 percent of targeted areas. Seed germination and early growth have benefited from optimal weather. Nonetheless, Ukraine’s rapeseed exports from July to October 2025 dropped by 54 percent compared to the previous year, largely due to increased domestic processing and supply shifts. This decline is expected to moderate as Canadian canola volumes rise and internal Ukrainian use continues to evolve.