Curtin’s Cast

Curtin's Cast Episode 48 - 18 March 2026 - Is the two-party system dead?


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This week on Curtin’s Cast, Nick Dyrenfurth and Kos Samaras break down the most striking polling shift in a generation — and what it means for Australian politics.

 

Victoria is no longer a conventional contest. Both major parties are struggling to reach 30%. One Nation is now polling in the mid-20s. The next Victorian election won’t be one election at all. It’ll be eighty-eight by-elections happening simultaneously across the state.

 

In this episode we explore:

 

📊 RedBridge/Accent Victorian state election polling

👥 Generational and class realignment playing out in real time

🗳️ Check in on South Australia ahead of March 21

🌍 Whether Middle East conflict influences domestic voting behaviour

 

This is a deep dive into the end of the old electoral map — and what replaces it.

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Curtin’s CastBy John Curtin Research Centre