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Data confirms South African consumers are losing purchasing power (#541)
Simon Shares
I have been talking about a cracking (broken?) consumer for a few months now. Two recent surveys show exactly this data.
- BankservAfrica’s five-year review of Take-home Pay and Private Pensions in South Africa for February 2018 – February 2023
- "The average nominal salary Take-home Pay Index, increased from R12,573 to R15,438, +22.8%." But CPI was 26.6% and take home pay had kept track until last year.
- Debt Busters Debt Index | Q1 2023 survey
- "Nominal incomes were 2% higher than 2016 levels, however when cumulative inflation growth of 40% is factored in for the same seven-year period, consumers’ purchasing power diminished by 38% over this period.".
- Rand trades at worst level ever on Friday, R19.5169/US$.
- Transaction Capital (JSE code: TCP), last week I sad the worst may be behind them. Well with the ZAR collapsing equalling more inflaiton and rates and petrok increases. Maybe not for SA Taxi or WeBuyCar.
- Purple Group* (JSE code: PPE) rights issue. Full details on 18 May. It will be R105m from Purple Shareholders and R45m from Sanlam at Easy Equities level. Total R150m
- Local PGM production down 14% in Q1.
- Calgro M3 (JSE code: CGR) results saw HEPS just above 150c while the stock trades at ±300x. Value or value trap?
- Sold my Sun International (JSE code: SUI) as price go backwards and I protecting profits. Excluding dividends ±70% return since November 2021.
- OpenAI Sam Altman goes before US Congress to propose licenses for AI.
- Pulling the ladder up behind you to stop others.
- I have been using ChatGPT via Bing and Google Bard. For investors they mostly useless.
- Pulling the ladder up behind you to stop others.
- Octodec (JSE code: OCT) results. Large discount to NAV and DY ±14%.
- Investing in mega trends
* I hold ungeared positions.
Simon Brown
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By www.JustOneLap.comSimon Shares
I have been talking about a cracking (broken?) consumer for a few months now. Two recent surveys show exactly this data.
- BankservAfrica’s five-year review of Take-home Pay and Private Pensions in South Africa for February 2018 – February 2023
- "The average nominal salary Take-home Pay Index, increased from R12,573 to R15,438, +22.8%." But CPI was 26.6% and take home pay had kept track until last year.
- Debt Busters Debt Index | Q1 2023 survey
- "Nominal incomes were 2% higher than 2016 levels, however when cumulative inflation growth of 40% is factored in for the same seven-year period, consumers’ purchasing power diminished by 38% over this period.".
- Rand trades at worst level ever on Friday, R19.5169/US$.
- Transaction Capital (JSE code: TCP), last week I sad the worst may be behind them. Well with the ZAR collapsing equalling more inflaiton and rates and petrok increases. Maybe not for SA Taxi or WeBuyCar.
- Purple Group* (JSE code: PPE) rights issue. Full details on 18 May. It will be R105m from Purple Shareholders and R45m from Sanlam at Easy Equities level. Total R150m
- Local PGM production down 14% in Q1.
- Calgro M3 (JSE code: CGR) results saw HEPS just above 150c while the stock trades at ±300x. Value or value trap?
- Sold my Sun International (JSE code: SUI) as price go backwards and I protecting profits. Excluding dividends ±70% return since November 2021.
- OpenAI Sam Altman goes before US Congress to propose licenses for AI.
- Pulling the ladder up behind you to stop others.
- I have been using ChatGPT via Bing and Google Bard. For investors they mostly useless.
- Pulling the ladder up behind you to stop others.
- Octodec (JSE code: OCT) results. Large discount to NAV and DY ±14%.
- Investing in mega trends
* I hold ungeared positions.
Simon Brown