Deep Values: Value Investing Deep Dives

Deep Values: Value Investing Deep Dives

By DeepValuesBusinessInvesting
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Deep Values: Value Investing Deep Dives episodes

  • Don't Live to 93: The Asset 90-Year-Olds Say You Misprice | Value Investing

    Why a 97-year-old says he would rot without a task, and what people past 90 regret overpaying for. Time is the one asset you can't buy back, and you are pricing it today.


    Chapters

    (0:00) The Ultimate Long-Term Hold

    (2:58) Investment Verdict on Human Capital

    (3:57) The Ultimate Long-Term Hold

    (5:01) Daily Operating Engine

    (5:41) Attitude as an Economic Moat

    (6:41) Key Operational Metrics

    (8:03) Hidden Opportunity Cost

    (8:45) Investment Verdict on Human Capital

    (10:07) Attitude as an Economic Moat

    (19:35) DeepValues Investor Toolkit

    (20:34) Investment Verdict on Human Capital

    (21:15) DeepValues Investor Toolkit

    (21:42) Get the free apps


    DeepValues toolkit

    • Free Margin of Safety Weekly, every Saturday (guru moves, market temperature, the week's research; no account needed): https://app.deepvalues.ai/letter?src=spotify&ref=unfiltered_advice_from_90_year_olds

    • DeepValues for iOS, intrinsic value and margin of safety for any stock: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/deepvalues/id6775568608

    • Is the market overvalued? Track it with Buffett Indicator (iOS): https://apps.apple.com/us/app/buffett-indicator/id6747404614

    • The same market gauge on Android, Bubble Watch: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.luluventures.buffett&referrer=utm_source%3Dspotify%26utm_medium%3Ddescription%26utm_campaign%3Dprinciples

    • Open-source research on 300+ companies: https://research.deepvalues.ai/?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=principles&utm_content=unfiltered_advice_from_90_year_olds

    • Deep Value Intelligence, the multi-agent AI analyst: https://deepvalues.ai/?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=principles&utm_content=unfiltered_advice_from_90_year_olds

    • Developer API for your AI agents: https://app.deepvalues.ai/developers?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=principles&utm_content=unfiltered_advice_from_90_year_olds


    Deep Value Intelligence audits the numbers behind the headlines with a Graham-Dodd / Buffett lens: valuation discipline, cash generation, balance-sheet safety and return on capital. Don't guess. Calculate.


    • This episode on YouTube: https://youtu.be/BKcaHkh64O8

    Subscribe: https://youtube.com/@TheDeepValues?sub_confirmation=1

    Podcast (Deep Values): Spotify https://open.spotify.com/show/2XDn2NMbbfvrJiqk9xAqR9 · Apple Podcasts https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/id1811057697

    23 min
  • Apple (AAPL) — Bearish? Apple's 12.6% Problem: Why Money Is Moving to Google and PDD

    Bearish on Apple (AAPL) as of 2026-11-04: 12.6% yearly profit growth. See why a legendary value investor is trimming Apple to fund Google and PDD, and how to test any great business against its price. With Treasuries at 5.2%, a $5 trillion Apple needs 12.6% annual profit growth just to match bonds.


    Chapters

    (0:00) Deep Value Research Note

    (1:55) Apple Valuation Decline

    (3:58) Apple to Google Shift

    (5:58) Google CapEx Panic

    (10:57) PDD Bear Case Margin

    (13:34) Emotional Value Moat

    (14:53) AI Risk Dilemma

    (20:03) Intelligent Investor Apps

    (20:44) Get the free apps


    Full open-source research report: https://research.deepvalues.ai/insights/2026-10-31-deciphering-duan-yongpings-capital-allocation-valuation-discipline/?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=company&utm_content=aapl


    DeepValues toolkit

    • Free Margin of Safety Weekly, every Saturday (guru moves, market temperature, the week's research; no account needed): https://app.deepvalues.ai/letter?src=spotify&ref=aapl

    • DeepValues for iOS, intrinsic value and margin of safety for any stock: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/deepvalues/id6775568608

    • Is the market overvalued? Track it with Buffett Indicator (iOS): https://apps.apple.com/us/app/buffett-indicator/id6747404614

    • The same market gauge on Android, Bubble Watch: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.luluventures.buffett&referrer=utm_source%3Dspotify%26utm_medium%3Ddescription%26utm_campaign%3Dcompany

    • Open-source research on 300+ companies: https://research.deepvalues.ai/?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=company&utm_content=aapl

    • Deep Value Intelligence, the multi-agent AI analyst: https://deepvalues.ai/?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=company&utm_content=aapl

    • Developer API for your AI agents: https://app.deepvalues.ai/developers?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=company&utm_content=aapl


    Deep Value Intelligence audits the numbers behind the headlines with a Graham-Dodd / Buffett lens: valuation discipline, cash generation, balance-sheet safety and return on capital. Don't guess. Calculate.


    • This episode on YouTube: https://youtu.be/JzZkcvHuNnQ

    Subscribe: https://youtube.com/@TheDeepValues?sub_confirmation=1

    Podcast (Deep Values): Spotify https://open.spotify.com/show/2XDn2NMbbfvrJiqk9xAqR9 · Apple Podcasts https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/id1811057697

    22 min
  • Anthropic's $80B Six-Month Loss vs Google's $500B Wipeout | Stock Market

    See how Graham and Buffett would judge Anthropic's $80 billion six-month loss and Google's $500 billion wipeout. With Anthropic's S-1 filing out and AI spending soaring, the margin of safety question can't wait.


    Chapters

    (0:00) AI Capital Cycle Analysis

    (1:40) Financial Reality of 2026

    (2:23) AI Paradox Bull Bear Case

    (4:07) AI Capital Cycle Analysis

    (4:47) AI Paradox Bull Bear Case

    (5:48) Financial Reality of 2026

    (6:29) Capital Allocation Repricing

    (8:12) AI Paradox Bull Bear Case

    (11:45) Takeaway for Long-Term Investors

    (16:57) Apps for Intelligent Value Investor

    (17:34) Get the free apps


    DeepValues toolkit

    • Free Margin of Safety Weekly, every Saturday (guru moves, market temperature, the week's research; no account needed): https://app.deepvalues.ai/letter?src=spotify&ref=anthropic_and_google_fail_value_investin

    • Is the market overvalued? Track it with Buffett Indicator (iOS): https://apps.apple.com/us/app/buffett-indicator/id6747404614

    • The same market gauge on Android, Bubble Watch: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.luluventures.buffett&referrer=utm_source%3Dspotify%26utm_medium%3Ddescription%26utm_campaign%3Dmarket

    • Open-source research on 300+ companies: https://research.deepvalues.ai/?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=market&utm_content=anthropic_and_google_fail_value_investin

    • Deep Value Intelligence, the multi-agent AI analyst: https://deepvalues.ai/?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=market&utm_content=anthropic_and_google_fail_value_investin

    • DeepValues for iOS, intrinsic value and margin of safety for any stock: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/deepvalues/id6775568608

    • Developer API for your AI agents: https://app.deepvalues.ai/developers?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=market&utm_content=anthropic_and_google_fail_value_investin


    Deep Value Intelligence audits the numbers behind the headlines with a Graham-Dodd / Buffett lens: valuation discipline, cash generation, balance-sheet safety and return on capital. Don't guess. Calculate.


    • This episode on YouTube: https://youtu.be/4-u7-5ZrDoc

    Subscribe: https://youtube.com/@TheDeepValues?sub_confirmation=1

    Podcast (Deep Values): Spotify https://open.spotify.com/show/2XDn2NMbbfvrJiqk9xAqR9 · Apple Podcasts https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/id1811057697

    18 min
  • Benner Cycle Says Sell in 2026: Is 1875 Pig-Iron Math Right? | Stock Market

    The viral 1875 chart marks 2026 as a sell year, yet its sell dates are just a repeating 9-10-8 year loop. See what its record really shows, and why price versus value matters more than any calendar.


    Chapters

    (0:00) Introduction to the Benner Cycle

    (1:23) The Arithmetic Engine Explained

    (2:40) Demystifying the Internal Math

    (5:21) Agricultural Boom-Bust Flywheel

    (8:25) Evidence of Famous Market Hits

    (10:08) Evidence of Glaring Misses

    (11:46) The Illusion of Accuracy

    (13:49) The 2026 Market Question

    (15:10) Intelligent Investor's Playbook

    (20:39) Deep Value Verdict

    (21:45) Tools for Intelligent Investors

    (21:58) Get the free apps


    DeepValues toolkit

    • Free Margin of Safety Weekly, every Saturday (guru moves, market temperature, the week's research; no account needed): https://app.deepvalues.ai/letter?src=spotify&ref=the_benner_cycle_warning_for_2026

    • Is the market overvalued? Track it with Buffett Indicator (iOS): https://apps.apple.com/us/app/buffett-indicator/id6747404614

    • The same market gauge on Android, Bubble Watch: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.luluventures.buffett&referrer=utm_source%3Dspotify%26utm_medium%3Ddescription%26utm_campaign%3Dmarket

    • Open-source research on 300+ companies: https://research.deepvalues.ai/?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=market&utm_content=the_benner_cycle_warning_for_2026

    • Deep Value Intelligence, the multi-agent AI analyst: https://deepvalues.ai/?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=market&utm_content=the_benner_cycle_warning_for_2026

    • DeepValues for iOS, intrinsic value and margin of safety for any stock: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/deepvalues/id6775568608

    • Developer API for your AI agents: https://app.deepvalues.ai/developers?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=market&utm_content=the_benner_cycle_warning_for_2026


    Deep Value Intelligence audits the numbers behind the headlines with a Graham-Dodd / Buffett lens: valuation discipline, cash generation, balance-sheet safety and return on capital. Don't guess. Calculate.


    • This episode on YouTube: https://youtu.be/iMOTfUI-Ulc

    Subscribe: https://youtube.com/@TheDeepValues?sub_confirmation=1

    Podcast (Deep Values): Spotify https://open.spotify.com/show/2XDn2NMbbfvrJiqk9xAqR9 · Apple Podcasts https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/id1811057697


    Disclaimer: educational and research content only. Not investment advice. Based on public sources that may be revised or interpreted differently. Do your own due diligence.

    23 min
  • Intel (INTC) — Bearish? Intel at $95, Base Value $20? SanDisk Has No Safety Margin

    Bearish on Intel (INTC) as of 2026-11-20: -372% Intel margin of safety. Intel trades at $95.53, but our base intrinsic value estimate is $20.24. That gap means the market price assumes 36.2% annual owner-earnings growth for five years. SanDisk is the opposite case: it trades close to fair value, but only if today's NAND margins hold up through the cycle. Here is why neither one offers a margin of safety right now.


    Chapters

    (0:00) Investment Committee Review

    (0:39) Two Tier-C Assets

    (3:06) Intel Verdict: Avoid

    (3:26) Strong Q3, Weak Q4 Guide

    (10:21) Intel Valuation vs Price

    (11:24) The Normalization Bridge

    (12:45) Intel Valuation vs Price

    (14:00) Intel Verdict: Avoid

    (14:59) SanDisk Verdict: Watch

    (15:41) SanDisk Valuation Range

    (16:43) Reverse DCF: Peak Risk

    (19:46) SanDisk Verdict: Watch

    (20:24) Tier-C Diagnostic Matrix

    (21:20) The Deep Value Takeaway

    (21:58) Apps and Resources

    (22:09) Get the free apps


    Full open-source research report: https://research.deepvalues.ai/insights/2026-10-29-sndk-and-intel-deep-value-analysis/?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=company&utm_content=intc


    DeepValues toolkit

    • Free Margin of Safety Weekly, every Saturday (guru moves, market temperature, the week's research; no account needed): https://app.deepvalues.ai/letter?src=spotify&ref=intc

    • DeepValues for iOS, intrinsic value and margin of safety for any stock: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/deepvalues/id6775568608

    • Is the market overvalued? Track it with Buffett Indicator (iOS): https://apps.apple.com/us/app/buffett-indicator/id6747404614

    • The same market gauge on Android, Bubble Watch: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.luluventures.buffett&referrer=utm_source%3Dspotify%26utm_medium%3Ddescription%26utm_campaign%3Dcompany

    • Open-source research on 300+ companies: https://research.deepvalues.ai/?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=company&utm_content=intc

    • Deep Value Intelligence, the multi-agent AI analyst: https://deepvalues.ai/?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=company&utm_content=intc

    • Developer API for your AI agents: https://app.deepvalues.ai/developers?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=company&utm_content=intc


    Deep Value Intelligence audits the numbers behind the headlines with a Graham-Dodd / Buffett lens: valuation discipline, cash generation, balance-sheet safety and return on capital. Don't guess. Calculate.


    • This episode on YouTube: https://youtu.be/i1iDG2oUfEo

    23 min
  • Roblox (RBLX) — Neutral? Roblox's $1.35B Free Cash Flow Illusion: 83% Goes to SBC

    Neutral on Roblox (RBLX) as of 2026-11-19: 83% FCF lost to SBC. Roblox reported $1.35B of free cash flow in FY2025 and a $1.07B GAAP net loss in the same year. Subtract the $1.13B of stock-based compensation and only $224M is left, so we look at what that means for owner earnings before today's Q3 2026 numbers come out.


    Chapters

    (0:00) Roblox Deep Value Research Overview

    (2:16) The Creator-User Network Moat

    (3:33) Platform Growth vs Owner Earnings

    (4:35) Big Cash Flows, GAAP Losses

    (5:58) Upfront Prepayments Inflate Cash Flow

    (8:38) SBC Erases Free Cash Flow

    (12:20) Verdict: Watch Pending Q3 Earnings

    (13:20) Platform Potential vs Dilution Risk

    (15:47) Verdict: Watch Pending Q3 Earnings

    (18:43) Investor Tools and Disclaimer

    (19:19) Get the free apps


    Full open-source research report: https://research.deepvalues.ai/insights/2026-10-29-roblox-investment-analysis-cash-flow-and-dilution-dynamics/?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=company&utm_content=rblx


    DeepValues toolkit

    • Free Margin of Safety Weekly, every Saturday (guru moves, market temperature, the week's research; no account needed): https://app.deepvalues.ai/letter?src=spotify&ref=rblx

    • DeepValues for iOS, intrinsic value and margin of safety for any stock: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/deepvalues/id6775568608

    • Is the market overvalued? Track it with Buffett Indicator (iOS): https://apps.apple.com/us/app/buffett-indicator/id6747404614

    • The same market gauge on Android, Bubble Watch: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.luluventures.buffett&referrer=utm_source%3Dspotify%26utm_medium%3Ddescription%26utm_campaign%3Dcompany

    • Open-source research on 300+ companies: https://research.deepvalues.ai/?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=company&utm_content=rblx

    • Deep Value Intelligence, the multi-agent AI analyst: https://deepvalues.ai/?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=company&utm_content=rblx

    • Developer API for your AI agents: https://app.deepvalues.ai/developers?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=company&utm_content=rblx


    Deep Value Intelligence audits the numbers behind the headlines with a Graham-Dodd / Buffett lens: valuation discipline, cash generation, balance-sheet safety and return on capital. Don't guess. Calculate.


    • This episode on YouTube: https://youtu.be/oHdYFr4Mtf0

    Subscribe: https://youtube.com/@TheDeepValues?sub_confirmation=1

    20 min
  • Amazon (company) (AMZN) — Neutral? Amazon Worth $25 or $200? The $220B Capex Paradox

    Neutral on Amazon (company) (AMZN) as of 2026-11-18: -$42.4B TTM free cash flow. Amazon brought in $168.3B of operating cash flow over the last 12 months, yet reported free cash flow was -$42.4B. Here's how one call, whether AI capex counts as maintenance or growth, moves the estimated intrinsic value from $25.68 to about $199.53, and which return metric to track from here.


    Chapters

    (0:00) Amazon Q3 2026 Capex Paradox

    (0:58) The Engine at Q3 2026 Scale

    (1:58) The Cash Flow Reality

    (5:25) Lens One: The Greenwald DCF

    (8:48) Two Lenses, One Accounting Debate

    (9:26) Lens Two: The SOTP Cross-Check

    (10:53) The Margin of Safety Synthesis

    (11:12) The AWS Infrastructure Moat

    (12:19) Weighing Bull and Bear Realities

    (13:18) Capital Allocation and Reinvestment

    (17:22) The Margin of Safety Synthesis

    (17:41) Watch: The Core Takeaway

    (20:05) Tools for Value Investors

    (20:44) Get the free apps


    Full open-source research report: https://research.deepvalues.ai/insights/2026-10-29-amazon-deep-value-investment-intelligence-analysis/?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=company&utm_content=amzn


    DeepValues toolkit

    • Free Margin of Safety Weekly, every Saturday (guru moves, market temperature, the week's research; no account needed): https://app.deepvalues.ai/letter?src=spotify&ref=amzn

    • DeepValues for iOS, intrinsic value and margin of safety for any stock: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/deepvalues/id6775568608

    • Is the market overvalued? Track it with Buffett Indicator (iOS): https://apps.apple.com/us/app/buffett-indicator/id6747404614

    • The same market gauge on Android, Bubble Watch: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.luluventures.buffett&referrer=utm_source%3Dspotify%26utm_medium%3Ddescription%26utm_campaign%3Dcompany

    • Open-source research on 300+ companies: https://research.deepvalues.ai/?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=company&utm_content=amzn

    • Deep Value Intelligence, the multi-agent AI analyst: https://deepvalues.ai/?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=company&utm_content=amzn

    • Developer API for your AI agents: https://app.deepvalues.ai/developers?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=company&utm_content=amzn


    Deep Value Intelligence audits the numbers behind the headlines with a Graham-Dodd / Buffett lens: valuation discipline, cash generation, balance-sheet safety and return on capital. Don't guess. Calculate.


    • This episode on YouTube: https://youtu.be/v2Z6JXxOn2I

    22 min
  • Alphabet (GOOGL) — Neutral? Alphabet Made $42B in Cash and Still Burned $9.1B

    Neutral on Alphabet (GOOGL) as of 2026-11-17: -$9.1B Q3 free cash flow. Alphabet generated $42.3B of operating cash in Q3 2026, spent $51.4B on AI capex, stopped buybacks and took on $29B of new debt. We compare its owner earnings, balance sheet and cloud growth with Microsoft and Meta to see whether this AI build can earn its cost of capital.


    Chapters

    (0:00) The AI Capital Regime Change

    (1:03) GAAP EPS vs Operating Reality

    (3:00) The DeepValues Benchmark

    (4:25) Spectacular Growth, Spectacular Burn

    (5:22) The Free Cash Flow Crossover

    (6:44) The DeepValues Benchmark

    (7:24) Microsoft Self-Funds, Alphabet Burns

    (8:06) From Buybacks to Stock and Debt

    (10:09) The Margin of Safety

    (10:50) Contracted Demand and Liabilities

    (11:47) Defending the Moat, Selling Pickaxes

    (13:12) Google Cloud Catches Azure

    (13:33) Defending the Moat, Selling Pickaxes

    (13:54) Three AI Business Models

    (14:57) Contracted Demand and Liabilities

    (15:35) Google Cloud Catches Azure

    (15:57) Unproven ROI and Dilution Risk

    (16:39) The North Star Metric

    (18:19) Apps for Value Investors

    (18:40) Get the free apps


    Full open-source research report: https://research.deepvalues.ai/insights/2026-10-28-alphabet-q3-2026-earnings-analysis/?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=company&utm_content=googl


    DeepValues toolkit

    • Free Margin of Safety Weekly, every Saturday (guru moves, market temperature, the week's research; no account needed): https://app.deepvalues.ai/letter?src=spotify&ref=googl

    • DeepValues for iOS, intrinsic value and margin of safety for any stock: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/deepvalues/id6775568608

    • Is the market overvalued? Track it with Buffett Indicator (iOS): https://apps.apple.com/us/app/buffett-indicator/id6747404614

    • The same market gauge on Android, Bubble Watch: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.luluventures.buffett&referrer=utm_source%3Dspotify%26utm_medium%3Ddescription%26utm_campaign%3Dcompany

    • Open-source research on 300+ companies: https://research.deepvalues.ai/?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=company&utm_content=googl

    • Deep Value Intelligence, the multi-agent AI analyst: https://deepvalues.ai/?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=company&utm_content=googl

    • Developer API for your AI agents: https://app.deepvalues.ai/developers?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=company&utm_content=googl


    Deep Value Intelligence audits the numbers behind the headlines with a Graham-Dodd / Buffett lens: valuation discipline, cash generation, balance-sheet safety and return on capital. Don't guess. Calculate.

    20 min
  • Microsoft (MSFT) — Neutral? Microsoft's AI Capex Just Cut Free Cash Flow 70%

    Neutral on Microsoft (MSFT) as of 2026-11-16: -70% FCF collapse. Microsoft spent 49% of its quarterly revenue on AI data centers, and free cash flow fell 70%. We work out its owner earnings, run a Graham-Buffett DCF and show why a Tier A business can still fail the price test.


    Chapters

    (0:00) Microsoft Classification and Stance

    (1:00) The Thesis: Quality vs Price

    (2:06) Business Model and Monetization

    (2:26) Economic Moat and Peer Benchmarks

    (3:29) Business Model and Monetization

    (4:37) Catalysts vs Downside Risks

    (5:22) The Capex Divergence

    (7:43) A Decade of Compounding

    (8:20) The Capex Divergence

    (9:37) Valuation: Two-Stage DCF Range

    (9:58) Catalysts vs Downside Risks

    (11:23) The Thesis: Quality vs Price

    (12:22) Capital Allocation: Buffett $1 Test

    (14:28) Valuation: Two-Stage DCF Range

    (16:49) Margin of Safety and Reverse DCF

    (18:34) The Thesis: Quality vs Price

    (19:38) Economic Moat and Peer Benchmarks

    (20:15) Four-Gate Institutional Verdict

    (21:19) The Capex Divergence

    (21:59) Tools for Value Investors

    (22:27) Get the free apps


    Full open-source research report: https://research.deepvalues.ai/insights/2026-10-28-microsoft-deep-value-analysis/?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=company&utm_content=msft


    DeepValues toolkit

    • Free Margin of Safety Weekly, every Saturday (guru moves, market temperature, the week's research; no account needed): https://app.deepvalues.ai/letter?src=spotify&ref=msft

    • DeepValues for iOS, intrinsic value and margin of safety for any stock: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/deepvalues/id6775568608

    • Is the market overvalued? Track it with Buffett Indicator (iOS): https://apps.apple.com/us/app/buffett-indicator/id6747404614

    • The same market gauge on Android, Bubble Watch: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.luluventures.buffett&referrer=utm_source%3Dspotify%26utm_medium%3Ddescription%26utm_campaign%3Dcompany

    • Open-source research on 300+ companies: https://research.deepvalues.ai/?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=company&utm_content=msft

    • Deep Value Intelligence, the multi-agent AI analyst: https://deepvalues.ai/?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=company&utm_content=msft

    • Developer API for your AI agents: https://app.deepvalues.ai/developers?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=company&utm_content=msft


    Deep Value Intelligence audits the numbers behind the headlines with a Graham-Dodd / Buffett lens: valuation discipline, cash generation, balance-sheet safety and return on capital. Don't guess. Calculate.

    23 min
  • Alphabet (GOOGL) — Neutral? Alphabet's $205B Bet Turns Google Into an AI Utility

    Neutral on Alphabet (GOOGL) as of 2026-11-15: $205B FY2026 capex. Google Cloud is growing 81.8% a year, but a $205B capex program pushed Alphabet's Q2 free cash flow below zero, and its $9.11 headline EPS falls to $2.85 once paper gains are stripped out. We look at owner earnings, the depreciation flag and a reverse DCF to see how $320.58 compares with our estimated intrinsic-value range.


    Chapters

    (0:00) Alphabet Deep Value Snapshot

    (1:38) Thesis: Asset-Light to Asset-Heavy

    (2:19) How Alphabet Makes Money

    (3:00) Competitive Position and Wide Moat

    (5:28) Financial X-Ray: Returns vs Capex

    (6:10) Forensic Adjustments and Owner Earnings

    (8:30) Financial X-Ray: Returns vs Capex

    (9:53) Capital Allocation Report Card

    (10:55) Forensic Adjustments and Owner Earnings

    (13:02) Core Debate: Cloud vs FCF

    (14:41) Pre-Mortem: Structural Risks

    (16:46) Reverse DCF and Margin of Safety

    (17:45) Valuation Scenarios

    (18:24) Reverse DCF and Margin of Safety

    (19:23) Final Verdict and Stance

    (21:27) DeepValues Apps and Resources

    (21:53) Get the free apps


    Full open-source research report: https://research.deepvalues.ai/insights/2026-10-28-alphabet-deep-value-intelligence-analysis/?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=company&utm_content=googl


    DeepValues toolkit

    • Free Margin of Safety Weekly, every Saturday (guru moves, market temperature, the week's research; no account needed): https://app.deepvalues.ai/letter?src=spotify&ref=googl

    • DeepValues for iOS, intrinsic value and margin of safety for any stock: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/deepvalues/id6775568608

    • Is the market overvalued? Track it with Buffett Indicator (iOS): https://apps.apple.com/us/app/buffett-indicator/id6747404614

    • The same market gauge on Android, Bubble Watch: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.luluventures.buffett&referrer=utm_source%3Dspotify%26utm_medium%3Ddescription%26utm_campaign%3Dcompany

    • Open-source research on 300+ companies: https://research.deepvalues.ai/?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=company&utm_content=googl

    • Deep Value Intelligence, the multi-agent AI analyst: https://deepvalues.ai/?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=company&utm_content=googl

    • Developer API for your AI agents: https://app.deepvalues.ai/developers?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=company&utm_content=googl


    Deep Value Intelligence audits the numbers behind the headlines with a Graham-Dodd / Buffett lens: valuation discipline, cash generation, balance-sheet safety and return on capital. Don't guess. Calculate.

    23 min

About Deep Values: Value Investing Deep Dives

From the publisher's feed

Value investing and stock analysis, Buffett-style. Each episode audits one company or market story: intrinsic value, discounted cash flow, margin of safety, moats and balance-sheet risk, ending with a…

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