Israel-Iran clash failed to topple regime; unity rose, diplomacy still key.

Nima Rostami Alkhorshid:

1. What are the implications of recent attacks between Iran and Israel, and how do they compare to previous conflicts?
2. How does the strategy used in Iran compare to what was seen in Russia at the start of the special military operation?
3. Is regime change in Iran a realistic goal for Israel and the U.S., given the current circumstances?
4. Can the U.S. achieve its objectives regarding Iran’s nuclear program through military action or negotiations?
5. How might the conflict influence the geopolitical strategies of Russia and China?

Dimitri Orlov:

1. The Israeli attack on Iran failed to destabilize the regime, with Iran quickly retaliating and demonstrating resilience, unlike expectations of regime collapse.
2. Similar to Russia in 2022, sleeper cells and foreign agents were exposed in Iran, leading to purges and strengthening internal unity against external threats.
3. Regime change is unlikely; the attack strengthened Iranian patriotism and cohesion rather than causing internal division.
4. Military action won't stop Iran's nuclear ambitions. Negotiations are undermined by U.S. credibility issues, especially after Trump's actions.
5. Russia and China prioritize stability in Iran due to economic and strategic interests, and they will support Iran to prevent Western dominance.

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