Do Properties Near The CBD Actually Get More Capital Growth? (Property Data Dive)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F9rz9q5B74c&ab;_channel=OnProperty

We are often told if we want the best capital growth we need to buy as close to the CBD as possible. But is this actually true and is there any data to back up this advice?

Why There's No Need To Buy Near The CBD

Select Residential Property

0:00 - Introduction1:13 - Issues with prior reports6:35 - What trend you'd want to see if this was true8:10 - Calculating the data9:25 - The results11:45 - A problem that makes this difficult to assess13:30 - Change in growth/m216:35 - Yield vs distance to CBD19:20 - Don't just look at one data point20:25 - Volatility vs proximity to CBD22:30 - Why are properties near the CBD more expensive?

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Transcription

Ryan 0:00We're often told that if we want the best capital growth, then we need to buy as close to the CBD as possible and that the further out you get from the CBD, the less capital growth you're going to get in that suburb and in that property. But is this actually true? Today? I have with me, Jeremy Shepard from selected residential property to talk about this. Do we actually need to buy in the CBD or as close to the CBD as possible? And is it true that the further out we get, the worse our capital growth is going to be? When we look at the data? Does it actually tell us a different story? So hey, Jeremy, thanks for coming on today.

Jeremy 0:37Thanks for having me. on your show. Ron.

Ryan 0:40No worries. So yeah, this is one that I'm really curious about. I know that you take different angles, other people, you look at the data, I guess more,

I don't know, less emotionally, you don't draw conclusions as quickly as other people do? And you tend to say no, what does the data actually tell us? And sometimes you throw your hands up and say, Look, it doesn't really tell us much. So I'm excited to hear what conclusions you come to and what data you've looked at. So don't talk us through a bit about what research you've done, what conclusions it's likely to? Yeah, well,

Jeremy 1:11I guess it was all triggered by having a look at some prior reports, I've seen quite a few. And it all seemed very convincing. And I tried to replicate the same sort of results and just to a little more well rounded job of it. So for example, people refer to inner ring, middle ring, outer ring, why have we got three rings? A lot of the reports I've seen have just focused on a single city. And I just thought, we need something a little bit more broad. What I wanted to know was, what is the improvement in capital growth per kilometer closer to the CBD? Is it possible to come up with a metric like that. And really, what I found was, there's not really much in it. And it's debatable whether there's anything in it. In fact, if I just scroll down, I think there was a Okay, so I go through some other reports and just point out some of the shortcomings, or some of these reports were quite a few years ago. So we can't really, you know, point a finger at what was done then it was was pretty good for its time. But there is a chart or where I cut to the chase. So I'll just if you'll bear with me, and I

Ryan 2:24will link to this article down below if people want to go through this go through it in way more detail than we're going to cover in this video. And you can see all the graphs and things here.

Jeremy 2:34This is a great one from two big names in real estate. Well, two big names in data in general RBA and real estate Institute of Australia. And,