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Dream Podcast - NFL Week 17 THE PICKS !!
RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers break down NFL Week 17 from a betting perspective. The Vegas wiseguys give out this weeks strongest picks and more.
š Dallas Cowboys vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Key Insight: Jalen Hurts is likely out, leading Fezzik to downgrade the Eagles by five points. The Cowboys, still motivated, are undervalued at +9.5. Fezzik predicts the true line should be 6.5 without Hurts.
š Denver Broncos vs. Cincinnati Bengals
Insight: Denver is underrated, ranked 12th in EPA, while Cincinnati struggles against strong teams. Scott highlights the key matchup of Patrick Surtain II vs. Jamar Chase, noting Denverās strong defensive fundamentals.
š Miami Dolphins vs. Cleveland Browns
Key Quote: āThe Dolphins are the third most unlucky team,ā says Mackenzie. Miami ranks 9th in efficiency with Tua but faces a weak Cleveland team with QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson, whose offense has totaled just 34 points in four starts. Weather concerns for Tua are dismissed due to moderate temperatures (~42Ā°F).
š Atlanta Falcons vs. Washington Commanders
Insight: Atlanta controls its playoff destiny behind rookie QB Michael Penix, whose poise was praised. Washington, after an emotional win, may face a letdown, with Atlanta expected to exploit their defensive weaknesses.
š Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers
Matchup: Scott critiques Green Bayās inflated value, noting their dominance over weak teams but struggles against strong ones like Minnesota. He praises Minnesotaās defensive schemes and home-field advantage.
Additional Games:
Rams vs. Cardinals: Sean McVay's historical dominance (13-3 ATS vs. Arizona) contrasts with Arizonaās improvement under Gannon.
Jets vs. Bills: The Jets (+11) are seen as undervalued against a Bills team needing only one win for the #2 seed.
Chargers vs. Patriots: RJ emphasizes Justin Herbertās effectiveness against weak pass rushes, favoring the first-half spread for the Chargers.
Raiders vs. Saints: Raidersā coach Antonio Pierce is praised for his motivational leadership, while the Saints struggle offensively.
Statistical Trends
Divisional Revenge: Teams losing by 30+ points cover ATS 58% in rematches.
Motivation Mismatches: Atlanta's playoff stakes versus Washingtonās reduced urgency.
Player Highlights: CeeDee Lambās injury impacts Dallas, while Denver's Surtain could dominate against Cincinnati's Jamar Chase.
Conclusion
The podcast underscores betting on undervalued teams like the Cowboys, Broncos, and Falcons, focusing on motivation, injuries, and statistical inefficiencies. The hostsā blend of advanced metrics and game-day insights provides actionable advice for NFL Week 17.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
View all episodes
By Pregame.comRJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers break down NFL Week 17 from a betting perspective. The Vegas wiseguys give out this weeks strongest picks and more.
š Dallas Cowboys vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Key Insight: Jalen Hurts is likely out, leading Fezzik to downgrade the Eagles by five points. The Cowboys, still motivated, are undervalued at +9.5. Fezzik predicts the true line should be 6.5 without Hurts.
š Denver Broncos vs. Cincinnati Bengals
Insight: Denver is underrated, ranked 12th in EPA, while Cincinnati struggles against strong teams. Scott highlights the key matchup of Patrick Surtain II vs. Jamar Chase, noting Denverās strong defensive fundamentals.
š Miami Dolphins vs. Cleveland Browns
Key Quote: āThe Dolphins are the third most unlucky team,ā says Mackenzie. Miami ranks 9th in efficiency with Tua but faces a weak Cleveland team with QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson, whose offense has totaled just 34 points in four starts. Weather concerns for Tua are dismissed due to moderate temperatures (~42Ā°F).
š Atlanta Falcons vs. Washington Commanders
Insight: Atlanta controls its playoff destiny behind rookie QB Michael Penix, whose poise was praised. Washington, after an emotional win, may face a letdown, with Atlanta expected to exploit their defensive weaknesses.
š Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers
Matchup: Scott critiques Green Bayās inflated value, noting their dominance over weak teams but struggles against strong ones like Minnesota. He praises Minnesotaās defensive schemes and home-field advantage.
Additional Games:
Rams vs. Cardinals: Sean McVay's historical dominance (13-3 ATS vs. Arizona) contrasts with Arizonaās improvement under Gannon.
Jets vs. Bills: The Jets (+11) are seen as undervalued against a Bills team needing only one win for the #2 seed.
Chargers vs. Patriots: RJ emphasizes Justin Herbertās effectiveness against weak pass rushes, favoring the first-half spread for the Chargers.
Raiders vs. Saints: Raidersā coach Antonio Pierce is praised for his motivational leadership, while the Saints struggle offensively.
Statistical Trends
Divisional Revenge: Teams losing by 30+ points cover ATS 58% in rematches.
Motivation Mismatches: Atlanta's playoff stakes versus Washingtonās reduced urgency.
Player Highlights: CeeDee Lambās injury impacts Dallas, while Denver's Surtain could dominate against Cincinnati's Jamar Chase.
Conclusion
The podcast underscores betting on undervalued teams like the Cowboys, Broncos, and Falcons, focusing on motivation, injuries, and statistical inefficiencies. The hostsā blend of advanced metrics and game-day insights provides actionable advice for NFL Week 17.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices