Off the Record on the Rocks

E126: Have You Been Involved with Replacing Democracy with Predictive Markets?


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Welcome to 2026, where digital detox is harder than quitting carbs and predictive markets make Vegas look quaint. In this episode, Toner trades Instagram for a Moleskine, Ankarino unboxes his 1997 analog self, and Liquid Death is the unofficial sponsor of Dry January (Severed Lime, anyone?). But it’s not just personal wellness—it’s geopolitical whiplash. Venezuela gets Noriega’d on a Tuesday, someone makes $400K off a bet that definitely wasn’t insider info, and prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket are quietly replacing the news. Meanwhile, Meta and Samsung drop new CES distractions while the U.S. military floats billion-dollar Star Destroyers off Latin America’s coast. The meme isn’t just the message—it’s the economic engine.

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Off the Record on the RocksBy Mike Toner & Ankarino Lara