The Moneyball Real Estate Show

EARNED: Success is Earned, Not Given - Ch. 6


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00:00 – 02:23 | Success is earned, not given & Kevin’s two careers
Kevin introduces Chapter 6 and the core principle: invisible moments culminate in visible results. He contrasts his complacent basketball years with his hyper-prepared speaking career to show how effort (or lack of it) shapes outcomes.

02:23 – 04:49 | The fallacy of “overnight success” & Jerry Rice’s grind
Kevin breaks down Jerry Rice’s legendary work ethic—offseason workouts, brutal conditioning, and extra reps—to show that what looks inevitable on Sundays was actually forged in private.

04:49 – 07:13 | Steph Curry: practice in private, rewarded in public
Steph Curry’s story illustrates micro wins in numbers: millions of practice shots vs. thousands of made threes in games. Kevin shows how only a tiny fraction of effort is ever seen, but all of it is required.

07:13 – 09:36 | The cost of success & DFY’s invisible work (Steve’s segment)
Steve shares his daughter’s hockey journey—sacrifice, focus, and relocating for opportunity. He ties it to DFY, explaining how years of unseen work, failed attempts, and refinement sit behind the “simple” experience clients see today.

09:36 – 11:53 | Real estate application: purchase-worthy properties vs. “good deals”
Kevin transitions the principle into real estate. Success in investing is built on continual, quiet, expert effort to find purchase-worthy properties—not on flashy “deals” or lucky breaks.

11:53 – 14:15 | Myth #1: Price alone doesn’t make a good deal
He debunks the idea that “cheap = good.” Kevin walks through low-price, high-headache properties and high-price, high-risk ones, emphasizing that stress, time, and tenant issues must be part of the equation—not just numbers on paper.

14:15 – 16:34 | Myth #2: Instant equity and the “you make your money when you buy” mantra
Kevin dismantles instant equity as a universal goal, explaining that the “discount” often shows up later as rehab costs, time, or risk. He explains why flipping is a different game and not aligned with Moneyball’s consistent singles strategy.

16:34 – 21:22 | Myth #3: Cap rate as the ultimate metric
He breaks down what cap rate really measures, how it can actually go down as values go up, and why relying on it as a be-all-end-all metric is dangerous—especially when you’re using leverage.

21:22 – 26:08 | Myth #4: Cash flow & the 1% rule in changing markets
Kevin explains the 1% rule, then shows how it was born in a very specific post-2008 context. He uses a 10-year example to illustrate how strict cash-flow rules could make investors walk right past six-figure opportunities.

23:44 – 28:34 | Rethinking negative cash flow as retirement funding
He reframes a small monthly shortfall as an intentional contribution to a long-term wealth-building vehicle. Negative cash flow becomes a strategic “retirement payment” into an appreciating, debt-paydown asset.

26:08 – 30:57 | The Moneyball approach: purchase-worthy > “good deal”
Kevin introduces Moneyball Real Estate’s core lens: focus on high-demand, middle-class neighborhoods and properties that are easy to own and manage. He defines “purchase-worthy” properties and explains why market value, not just appraised value, matters.

30:57 – 33:21 | The ideal Moneyball property & tenant profile
He outlines the target property type (3–4 beds, 2 baths, 2-car garage, middle-income areas near amenities) and why property managers love this sweet spot. It attracts stable tenants and keeps headaches low—key to long-term success.

33:21 – End | Idea summary & micro-win action steps
Kevin recaps the chapter’s core ideas and offers three micro-win challenges: recognize your own invisible progress, upgrade how you define a “good deal,” and start identifying high-demand, low-supply opportunities that align with the Moneyball mindset.

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The Moneyball Real Estate ShowBy Kevin Clayson, Steve Earl

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