Global Macro Highlights: The Week In Review

Emerging Markets are safer than the west


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This episode analyzes the global economic consequences of the US Supreme Court's decision to overturn specific tariffs and their subsequent replacement with a universal 10% duty. This shift in trade policy creates a complex landscape where Brazil and China emerge as winners, while the United Kingdom and Australia face economic disadvantages. Beyond trade, the reports examine fiscal sustainability, noting that emerging markets currently maintain a more stable debt outlook than developed nations due to better demographic trends and disciplined fiscal responses. Regional analyses further explore stubborn inflation in the UK and political budget instability in France, suggesting that domestic policy challenges remain significant. Finally, investment strategies favor emerging market equities despite currency risks, while advising a neutral stance on corporate credit due to potential fluctuations in long-term Treasury yields.

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Global Macro Highlights: The Week In ReviewBy Oxford Economics