Su Yuping/Biden is also a believer of "MAGA"? The United States has returned to isolationism again, and the global situation has changed dramatically!
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Su Yuping/Biden is also a believer of "MAGA"? The United States has returned to isolationism again, and the global situation has changed dramatically!
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Therefore, before the US epidemic does not improve and resume, it is expected that the United States will continue its diplomatic isolationist policy and do not want to intervene too much. Regardless of whether it is allies or enemy countries, the United States should ignore it temporarily as long as it is not too troublesome.
● Su Yuping
American Supremacy Relapsed into Isolationism
Since Biden came to power on January 20, 2021, he has almost reversed the direction of countless Trump administrations policies. Are they really the two opposite? The author’s analysis is that their direction and spirit are in fact the same, that is, "The United States first takes care of its own domestic affairs, no matter what happen in the outside world." Trump shows everything on his face, but Biden is not. The difference lies in attitude.
But is this an attitude that the world expect from the United States? From this we can see the shadow of "isolationism" before the rise of the United States in the early 20th century.
This will be negative to the world situation. It means that all the extremists, racists will come to power and disrupt the world because now they are not afraid of being sanctioned or punished by the international police, it means US. Once the international community returns to the jungle, it will be dangerous for small country like Taiwan.
It's hard to determine who is friend and enemy
The proof that the United States wants to return to isolation is that the United States is not hostile to the traditional US enemies in the Middle East "Iran, Syria, Taliban," and so on. Instead, it has excluded the Yemen Houthi regime from the list of countries that support terrorism. Together with Iran, US wishes to return to the path of the 2015 nuclear weapons agreement, and is also willing to withdraw troops from Afghanistan.
It is such friendly as if these countries are allies of the United States.
▲Reporter Khashoggi (left) and Saudi Arabian Crown Prince Mohammed, who was suspected of killing Khashoggi. Salman (right). (Picture/Retrieved from Wikipedia)
However, for traditional American alliances such as Saudi Arabia, Israel, Jordan, and Egypt, US did not show special closeness and friendship to them. Sometimes US treats them more severe. For example, US State Department tried to pursue the case of the Saudi Crown Prince's involvement for the murder of the journalist Khashoggi and stop Saudi Arabia's continue attack to Yemen Houthi regime, or keep silent about ICC's intention to investigate Israel 's behaviors during the war with Gaza in 2014 and accused Israel high military officials and political leaders of war crimes. Or substantially restore friendly relations and provide financial assistance to Palestine. Such attitude towards traditional allies is simply unprecedented. , It is jaw-dropping. It seems that even the United States itself cannot figure out what path the United States wants to take in the future.
Friendly to Iran but not easy
The Biden administration intends to work with Iran to return to the track of the Iran nuclear agreement inked by the six parties in 2015, that is, "Iran handed over its nuclear weapons facilities to the international community for supervision, and guaranteed that it would not develop enriched materials for nuclear bombs. Economic sanctions and embargo measures will be lifted and allowed Iran to sell crude oil, imported food, medicine and other necessities for people's livelihood." Such kindness from the United States has hardly appeared since the Iranian religious revolution in 1979.
It is a pity that since taking office, the United States and Iran have been stuck on the face problem of who should make first step forward. US Secretary of State Antony Blincon hopes that Iran will return to the path of complying with the nuclear agreement. The United States is willing to lift sanctions immediately after confirming that Iran will comply with the agreement.
▲U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken hopes that Iran will return to the path of complying with the nuclear agreement before the United States lifts sanctions on Iran. (Photo/Reuters)
However, Iran’s Foreign Minister Zarif retorted that the US Trump administration unilaterally tore up the agreement in 2018 and unreasonably began to impose severe sanctions and embargo on Iran. To restore the original status today, it should be the United States that should take the lead in correcting its mistakes. The path of the Iran nuclear agreement in 2015, then "Iran promises to immediately hand over all nuclear weapons facilities and refined materials for all parties and the International Atomic Energy Agency IAEA supervision."
The two sides have quarreled for two months and still have no solution. Even Russian President Putin and EU leaders have expressed their willingness to mediate the two sides back to the nuclear agreement "at the same time", so that no one will lose face, but the farce is still going on.
▲Ali Khamenei, the supreme leader of Iran. (Photo/Dazhi Image/Associated Press)
It’s a pity that the most eye-catching point in this case has not been taken seriously, " That is: Iran is willing to surrender nuclear weapons facilities and materials in exchange for the lifting of sanctions. "
However, according to my observation, the United States and Iran will fall into this stalemate. I fear that it is not Biden’s original intention, but that the bureaucrats of the State Department have not yet deviated from the Trump era's hard-line attitude toward Iran. Restricted by his hard-line thinking, he dare not make a bold move to implement the reconciliation policy goals set by Biden.
Now the United States is unwilling to take the first step because of pride. In the future, if Iran is forced to embark on a confrontational path, or if Israel is the first to attack Iran and trigger Iran’s counterattack, or see China signed with Iran on March 27 The 25-year partnership agreement has affected the overall Middle East strategy of the United States, and the gains outweigh the losses.
Remove the Houthi regime from the list of countries that support terrorism
Furthermore, as for the Yemen Houthi regime, Lebanese Hezbollah, Syrian Assad regime and other regional armed groups or governments supported by Iran, after Biden came to power, they did not receive much pressure or strong hostility from the United States, but Houthi The regime seems stupid to fail to understand the goodwill released by the United States, and continues to attack Saudi Arabia, causing continued unrest in the region.
▲China and Iran formally signed a 25-year agreement on March 27. (Photo/Retrieved from the official website of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of China)
In fact, the most important thing the Yemen Houthi regime should do is to stop the attack, announce the official founding of the nation, and obtain diplomatic recognition from the United States and the international community. It can even cut off the umbilical cord relationship with Iran. For example, the Shiite government in Iraq is not under the command of Iran. In this way, we have embarked on a diplomatic path of peace and restraint. This is the right way to build our country.
U.S. difficult to withdraw from Afghanistan
In addition, when it comes to Afghanistan, this is a bottomless pit for US military intervention overseas. The United States has sent troops to Afghanistan since the September 11 incident in 2001, and has been unable to wipe out the Taliban theological armed forces. This has been a full 20 years, and the US soldiers in Afghanistan are probably now. He was just born at the time of 9/11 and is still fighting this impossible war.
Why don't Americans look at history? How easy is it to conquer the cemetery of this great power in Afghanistan?
From Alexander the Great to the modern British Empire and the Soviet Union, countless great empires broke their guns and halberds in the mountainous plateaus of Afghanistan, and they simply failed to conquer the persevering Afghans.
▲Osama bin Laden, the former leader of al-Qaeda. (Photo/Dazhi Image/Associated Press)
The United States has no national interests in Afghanistan, a barren land with no resources, markets, and commercial interests. There is only one fight left. Even the 9/11 culprit "Qaeda" and Bin Laden are in the past. The Taliban It is just that Bin Laden has been sheltered for a few days, but the United States has sent troops to deal with it for 20 years. Is there any deep hatred or US strategic interests here? Actually not at all.
For a savvy person like Trump, it is natural and clear that the United States will withdraw its troops from Afghanistan on May 1 this year.
The Biden administration is now hesitant again. After all, "overall what Trump has done" is the principle of the Democratic Party in power after taking office. Should the withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan come to an end?
The author believes that Trump’s decision is completely correct. Afghanistan is a bottomless pit. No matter how much the United States invests, it will not be possible to transform him into a BRIC country X. It is the right way to withdraw troops and leave the country as soon as possible, otherwise the Soviet Union will do the same. Even if it is strong, Afghanistan can't make Afghanistan bow. What use can this little force of the United States and EU countries do? Can the garrison in Afghanistan be used as a forward base to encircle someone or attack someone?
U.S.-Israel relations
In addition, Biden’s attitude towards Israel is very subtle. The leaders of the United States and Israel have always been like glue and close relations. However, after Biden came to power, he left Natangyahu aside for more than a month. The Israeli political leaders and the media wanted to guess when Biden would call. , A lot of brain cells died, and it took more than a month to reluctantly call Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (Benjamin Netanyahu).
▲Israeli Prime Minister Natangyahu. (Photo/Reuters)
Regarding the Israeli-Palestinian peace plan, the US State Department under Biden’s leadership has returned to the 1967 Two State Solution (Two State Solution) as the border. Palestine established a state in the three places of "East Jerusalem (the capital), the West Bank, and Gaza." , Coexist peacefully with Israel. If the Jewish settlement or certain important lands cannot be surrendered by the state, the same area of Israeli land will be returned to Palestine in exchange. This is the essence of "Land for Peace", and it is also the United States. Adhere to the basic principles, spirit and road map of the Israeli-Palestinian peace talks for decades.
If Israel can meet these requirements, according to the Arab Initiative put forward by Saudi Arabia in 2003, all Arab countries will establish diplomatic relations with Israel at the same time and normalize their relations. There is a final solution for permanent peace, it just depends on whether the governments and people of all parties are willing to accept it.
Trump's lone wolf behavior is not what the boss should do
The Trump era has completely fallen to Israel. The United States has renounced Palestine’s annual economic assistance of hundreds of millions of dollars, closed the US Consulate in Jerusalem that had previously dealt with the Palestinians, closed the diplomatic mission of the Palestine Liberation Organization in Washington, and forced Palestine to accept the United States. And Israel’s peace plan.
Even in order to induce the normalization of relations between Arab countries and Israel, even generously acknowledging Morocco’s sovereignty over Western Sahara, removing Sudan from the list of countries that support terrorism without any reason, etc., all show that Trump There is no bottom line to do anything that is inconsistent with international law, or even inconsistent with the basic principles and morals of the United States, even if it harms the interests and sovereignty of other countries.
▲Former US President Trump vigorously supported Israel, but he did harm to international construction. (Photo/Reuters)
This is the act of a lone wolf. It also proves that the United States has no longer wanted to be the leader of the international community since the Trump era, because the price it has to pay is greater than the benefits it can obtain.
If you want to be the boss, you must set rules for your brothers and yourself. Only the lone wolf will do whatever he wants, regardless of any rules.
Settle the chaos and get back on the right track of peace talks
Obviously Biden will reverse these situations one by one and return to the right track. This is a good thing, because I have never heard that the peace plan imposed on people will last forever. The peace agreement signed after the end of the First World War soon brought fascism. The rise and the Second World War are notable examples.
Any effective Israeli-Palestinian peace plan must be acceptable to both Israel and Palestine (or even unsatisfactory but acceptable).
The resolution of conflicts between other parties is also based on this principle.
In fact, after the development of shale oil and gas in the United States, as well as the progress of alternative energy technology in the world, the supply of oil and gas in the Middle East is no longer a topic of major national interests of the United States. Therefore, the United States no longer has strong motives and interests to intervene in the Middle East. In addition, the United States itself has a severe and tragic epidemic, as if it were a third-world country. It is a reasonable choice for the US President to take care of itself first.
▲Before the epidemic situation in the United States improved, the United States maintained isolationism in its foreign policy. (Photo/Reuters)
Therefore, before the US epidemic does not improve and resume, it is expected that the United States will continue its diplomatic isolationist policy and does not want to interfere too much. Whether it is allies or enemy countries, the United States should ignore it temporarily as long as it is not too troublesome.
But if the United States accidentally responds to the international situation, after the domestic epidemic is over, Biden may also find that the world is in chaos, all extremism and racism have become rampant again, and it will take more effort to set things right anyway.
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Su Yuping Column
Su Yuping
Graduated from the International Relations Section of the Political Department of National Taiwan University in 2000. After serving in the military police, he entered the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and served in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. The staff of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs has been sent to Mongolia, Israel and other difficult war-torn areas for more than ten years. He is very familiar with the Middle East and Central Asia. , Opened a Podcast channel "Diplomats tell stories about the history of the Middle East and Central Asia."
Su Yuping
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Keywords:
Biden U.S. Outbreak Isolationism Allies and Enemies Iran Brinken Putin Afghan Democrat Natang Yahu
Original URL: Is Su Yuping/Biden also a believer of "MAGA"? The United States has returned to isolationism again, and the global situation has changed dramatically! | Cloud Theory | ETtoday News Cloud https://forum.ettoday.net/news/1951130#ixzz6qrvKiEZ0
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