Is putting together a perfect Oscar ballot really all in the numbers? On the inaugural episode of 'TIFF Long Take', Rob and Geoff sit down with Walt Hickey, FiveThirtyEight.com's Chief Culture Writer, to find out how you can use data to predict the winners on Sunday night. The three discuss the data model that Walt has built to find the probable winners (3:55), why the Golden Globes aren't a great indicator of Oscar success (6:45), why 'La La Land' is a shoe in for Best Picture (10:35), what categories are primed for an upset (17:00), and why an Oscar nomination doesn't always translate to box office success (23:40). Theme Music By The Passion HiFi http://www.thepassionhifi.com