Fundamentals Unfiltered

Ep. 10: Signals & Noise: From Shutdown to Credit Market & AI


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In this episode, Matt unpacks key stories from The Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, Barron’s, and The Economist—connecting macro trends to real investment risks. He covers the economic ripple effects of the government shutdown, unreliable labor data, and the Federal Reserve’s policy challenges. The discussion highlights rising distress in private credit markets, drawing on insights from Barron’s and The Economist, and features analysis from short-seller Jim Chanos, whose Financial Times interview explores fraud and weak underwriting in today’s credit environment. Matt also examines Ruchir Sharma’s editorial, “America Is Now One Big Bet on AI,” on how AI-driven growth is reshaping the U.S. economy. With supporting data from McKinsey and ADP, the episode ties together themes of leverage, structural risk, and the importance of staying grounded in fundamentals.


Discussion Points:

Jim ChanosFinancial Times interview on forensic financial analysis and rising fraud risks.

Ruchir SharmaFinancial Times editorial: “America Is Now One Big Bet on AI.”

David Lynch – Author of The World’s Worst Bet, discussed for context.

The Wall Street Journal – Coverage of the government shutdown and labor data.

Barron’s – “Public Bonds Are Booming. Why Is Private Credit Flashing Distress?”

The Economist – “Credit Markets Look Increasingly Dangerous.”

McKinsey – Estimate that AI investment will exceed $5 trillion over the next five years.


Check out The World’s Worst Bet by David Lynch → https://amzn.to/3Wim7Eo

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Fundamentals UnfilteredBy Matt DePaola