Offcuts

Ep 166: 2025 Commerce Tech Winners & Losers, With Luke Hodgson co founder of Commerce Thinking & High Cohesion


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On this episode, I’m revisiting the big shifts in commerce tech with Luke Hodgson. Who’s winning, who’s losing, and what’s changing under the surface.


We break the conversation down into four key areas: platforms, frontend tools, back office systems, and AI. We look at why Shopify still has the momentum, why BigCommerce’s rebrand hasn’t made much impact, and why platforms like Centra are gaining ground with modern fashion brands. Luke also explains why Magento is fading, and why Salesforce Commerce Cloud rarely comes up in conversation anymore.


We talk about why fragmented tool stacks are falling out of favour, and how consolidation is changing the frontend experience. And we dive into the back office, where the ERP landscape is overdue for disruption, but still proving hard to unseat. Luke shares a strong view on where AI will change everything and where it won’t.


We end with predictions. Luke backs next-gen merchandising tools. I put my money on the Nordics.


If you’re watching the commerce tech landscape and wondering where to place your bets, this one’s for you.


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OffcutsBy Tim Richardson

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