What if my frequently-repeated no-problem scenario for this Fourth Turning - the Glorious Revolution redux, that is, mostly bloodless and quickly resolved - is an overly optimistic best-case? What else could happen here?

General assumptions:

* Peak is already arriving, so there aren't a lot of major flips or revelations happening 

* Direction of movement is related to generally known events, as that is what moves people along their paths

* No conspiracies that will reveal large numbers of people supporting or opposing actions beyond what can reasonably be foreseen.

Very roughly, there are 3 million square miles in the United States, so 3 million votes mean one extra vote fo every single square mile. If you want ed to compare how many people who voted for Clinton versus Trump there would be in a potential Civil War v2.

Jade Helm was a military exercise that inspired no end of conspiracy theories, which you can look into here if you like that sort of thing.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jade_Helm_15_conspiracy_theories

"What's past is prologue" is from The Tempest.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/What%27s_past_is_prologue

It's also an opening quote from the Babylon 5 episode "Z'ha'dum" - here's the ending quote, which seems apropos as well:

All around us, it was as if the Universe were holding its breath, waiting. All of life can be broken down into moments of transition, or moments of revelation. This had the feeling of both. G’Quon wrote, “There is a greater darkness than the one we fight, it is the darkness of the soul that has lost its way." The war we fight is not against powers or principalities, it is against chaos and despair. Greater than the death of flesh is the death of hope, the death of dreams. Against this peril we can never surrender. The future is all around us, waiting in moments of transition to be born in moments of revelation. No one knows the shape of that future, or where it will take us. We know only that it is always born in pain.