The Days Ahead: Jobs number on Friday. Short trading week.
One-Minute Summary. Bonds were up, large and small cap stocks up a small amount and international stocks off around 1.5%...much of that was because of autos (see below), which are around 20% of the German and Japanese stock markets. Emerging Markets had a troubled week mainly because of the bad news coming out of Argentina and Turkey (we talk about it in our podcast here).
There are really two tracks going on in Emerging Markets. One, those countries with high U.S. dollar borrowing, budget deficits and importing oil. Two, those that don't. In the first category are Turkey, Argentina and the Philippines and in the second, China, Taiwan and South Korea. We're oversimplifying, we know.
Right now, there’s a great deal of concern about the former and they're overshadowing the better story from the others. It’s also a problem that a lot of Emerging Market investing is done en bloc, meaning investors buy a single ticker and they're either all in or all out. We think some of this will settle down but in the meantime are looking to protect our Emerging Markets exposure.
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