recent hawkish pause by the Fed - keeping interest rates on hold in
September, ready to hike one more time in November - seems to have
silently opened a new chapter in the economic cycle, and thus in
financial market dynamics.
recession risks, wars, inflation spikes, regional US banks failures or
contracting PMIs for months have all been elements completely ignored by
investors in 2023, the "higher (rates) for longer " message from
central banks is causing markets to understand that higher interest
rates can break things - better late than never.
S&P 500 is down 5% in the last ten days, while government bond
yields continue to drift higher almost everywhere. What should we do now
with our investment portfolios then?