PEBCAK Podcast: Information Security News by Some All Around Good People

Episode 229 - The Evolution of Ransomware: From Spray-and-Pray to Sophisticated Cybercrime


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      • 2016: The Dawn of Modern Ransomware
        • The debut of Petya and Russian-affiliated groups like CryptoWall, TeslaCrypt, and Locky.
        • Attacks were largely indiscriminate, targeting anyone from Fortune 500 companies to "Grandma's laptop."
        • Early mitigation tactics, like installing Russian language packs to avoid infection, highlighted the state-tolerated nature of these groups.
        •  

              • 2017: Ransomware Goes Mainstream
                • A pivotal year with the WannaCry attack (attributed to North Korea’s Lazarus Group) and NotPetya (Russian-backed), causing billions in damages to companies in multiple verticals.
                • The SAMSAM attacks hit U.S. cities like Baltimore and Atlanta, marking Iran’s brief foray into ransomware.
                • Ransomware became a household name, sparking executive-level discussions in boardrooms.
                •  

                      • 2020: The Rise of Ransomware-as-a-Service
                        • Groups like Ryuk, REvil, and Conti refined ransomware into a business model, outsourcing tasks like initial access and money laundering.
                        • Double extortion emerged, with attackers stealing data and threatening to leak it, even if backups were restored.
                        • Some groups introduced “terms of service,” avoiding hospitals and schools to dodge law enforcement scrutiny.
                        •  

                              • 2021: Critical Infrastructure in the Crosshairs
                                • High-profile attacks on Colonial Pipeline, JBS Foods, and Ireland’s National Health Service disrupted daily life, from gas shortages to meat supply issues.
                                • These incidents underscored ransomware’s real-world impact, elevating cybersecurity to a boardroom priority.
                                •  

                                      • 2022: Geopolitical Shifts and New Players
                                        • Russian-backed groups like Conti and LockBit shifted focus to Ukraine amid the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
                                        • The rise of Scattered Spider, a Western-based group excelling at social engineering and SIM swapping, marked a shift from Eastern state-tolerated actors.
                                        •  

                                              • 2023: Trust Breaks Down
                                                • The ALFV/BlackCat group’s $22 million rug pull against affiliates signaled the decline of Russian-backed ransomware dominance.
                                                • Scattered Spider solidified its reputation, targeting major hospitality and cleaning companies with sophisticated social engineering tactics.
                                                •  

                                                      • 2025: The Western Cybercrime Surge
                                                        • Scattered Spider and affiliates like DragonForce dominate, hitting retailers, insurance, aviation, and automotive sectors.
                                                        • The shift to Western-based actors, often young and operating in Five Eyes nations, makes them more vulnerable to law enforcement.
                                                        •  

                                                              • Trends and Takeaways
                                                                • The move from expensive zero-day exploits to cheaper n-day exploits and social engineering highlights attackers’ adaptability.
                                                                • Double extortion and even “double dipping” (demanding additional ransoms months later) have become standard tactics.
                                                                • The accessibility of AI tools and open-source platforms like Venice AI has lowered the barrier for creating ransomware, even for non-programmers.
                                                                • Law enforcement’s increasing success in arrests and Bitcoin recovery (e.g., DarkSide’s downfall) offers hope for curbing cybercrime.
                                                                •  

                                                                   

                                                                   

                                                                  Dad Joke of the Week (DJOW)

                                                                   

                                                                  Find the hosts on LinkedIn:

                                                                  Chris - https://www.linkedin.com/in/chlouie/

                                                                  Ben - https://www.linkedin.com/in/benjamincorll/

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                                                                  PEBCAK Podcast: Information Security News by Some All Around Good PeopleBy Chris Louie

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