On this episode of “Trend or Trap?” for Wednesday’s MLB slate, Miami Marlins take on the Minnesota Twins and Dan Karpuc breaks down whether fading Minnesota when Simeon Woods Richardson starts is a profitable trend worth following — or a trap bettors should avoid.

The numbers are ugly: the Twins are just 1-7 straight up in Woods Richardson’s starts this season, while opposing teams have produced a 7-1 SU record with nearly 50% ROI. Dan dives into Woods Richardson’s recent performances, alarming Baseball Savant metrics, and why his profile currently grades out among the weakest in baseball.

On the other side, Max Meyer has emerged as a breakout arm for Miami, posting elite underlying metrics and giving the Marlins a major edge on the mound.

Is this another “Patrick Corbin Day”-style fade spot? Dan explains why he’s backing Miami and why this trend is one to tail.