The Roger Sarnt Podcast

Episode 60: Green Numbers, Red Flags: Why Soldiers Leave Early


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The future of our military readiness hangs in the balance as nearly one in four new Army recruits leave service within their first two years. What's driving this alarming exodus, and why are the very programs designed to help new soldiers actually contributing to higher failure rates?

This deep-dive explores the startling contradiction at the heart of Army retention: recruits who attend special preparatory courses before basic training are washing out at significantly higher rates (15-19%) than those who don't (11%). Meanwhile, the doubling of recruitment waivers—including over 400 felony exemptions—raises serious questions about who we're bringing into uniform and whether they're set up for success.

Through compelling statistics and firsthand military experience, we examine how leadership decisions, barracks conditions, and training schedules directly impact a soldier's decision to stay or go. The financial stakes couldn't be higher, with each departed recruit representing up to $75,000 in lost training investment.

Most revealing is the critical role of NCOs, who serve as the primary touchpoint for new soldiers yet often prioritize high-performers while unintentionally neglecting those who need additional guidance. This selective mentorship widens the gap between successful integration and early departure.

Beyond simply identifying problems, we explore practical solutions: better assignment timing for new soldiers, enhanced leadership training for junior NCOs, and recruitment processes that match candidates to suitable MOS options. The conversation reminds us that transforming civilians into effective military personnel requires more than just meeting recruitment numbers—it demands patience, understanding, and consistent mentorship.

What's your take on the Army's future soldiers program? Is it ultimately helping or hurting retention? Share your thoughts and experiences in the comments section below.

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The Roger Sarnt PodcastBy SFC Saeed Cruz