As I set out to chart a course for who to invite for the first several episodes of the P-56 Podcast, Bill Swelbar was at or near the top of the list for his unique insights, deep knowledge of the airline industry, and experience with airport service development. In the premiere podcast for P-56, Bill discusses his updated forecast for air service from 2020-2025, what he's gotten right in the forecast, what he's gotten wrong in the forecast, and what he'd really like to be wrong about in the forecast for the future. We also discuss a lack of replacements for the 50-seat regional jet, airports that may be winners and losers in the new economic reality of airline travel, and where business aviation might be able to fill the gaps left by a shrinking airline industry.
Currently with the Swelbar-Zhong Consultancy, Bill has been at the forefront of airline industry analysis throughout a changing world. Previously with Delta Airport Consultants and InterVistas, he also holds positions at MIT and sits on the Board of Directors for Hawaiian Airlines. He holds a bachelor’s degree from Eastern Michigan University and an MBA from The George Washington University. The Swelbar-Zhong Consultancy website is currently under construction, but Bill can be found on LinkedIn here or reached via e-mail at swelbar@swelbar-zhongair.com with questions about the forecast.

First Things First, Let's Buckle Those Belts: Economic Turbulence Ahead for Airlines & Airports with Bill Swelbar, Airline Consultant

Aviation policy, economics, and current events from inside and outside the Beltway for experts, professionals, and hobbyists alike. Bringing aviation experts from across the industry together to share insights, updates, and commentary. Hosted by Martin Rottler, a pilot, former professor and airline manager, longtime avgeek, and current Principal of the P-56 Group, an aviation consulting firm. 

For behind-the-scenes and early access, send us an e-mail: p56podcast@gmail.com.

Aviation

Games & Hobbies

Leisure

After a holiday hiatus, the P-56 Podcast returns this week with special guest John Heimlich, Vice President and Chief Economist of Airlines For America. In this episode, we discuss the current state of the airline industry, some of the lesser-known-yet-incredibly-helpful provisions of the CARES Act, the future of propulsion & fuel, and more. 
John Heimlich currently serves as Vice President and Chief Economist for Airlines For America (A4A), where he has worked since 2001. He is responsible for matters pertaining to economics and energy and frequently engages with members of the media. Prior to A4A, Heimlich spent five years at United Airlines in financial planning, financial analysis and international and regulatory affairs. In the latter role, he worked on competition matters, mergers, route cases and antitrust immunity for alliances. A native of Kent, Ohio, Heimlich holds a Bachelor of Arts degree magna cum laude, Phi Beta Kappa, from Cornell University and a master’s degree in public policy from Harvard University’s John F. Kennedy School of Government.
Airlines for America, also known as A4A, advocates on behalf of 10 US carriers (including Delta, Southwest, American, United, FedEx, UPS, and others) to help shape crucial policies and measures that promote safety, security and a healthy U.S. airline industry. Under John's leadership, A4A regularly publishes and maintains a current state of the industry that can be found here: https://www.airlines.org/data/.
More information about the organization can be found by visiting the A4A website. In addition, the organization regularly posts updates and other news via their Twitter, @airlinesdotorg.



Economics, Energy, and More with Airlines for America Vice President & Chief Economist John Heimlich

This has been an exciting week in the aviation and transportation policy world, with Pete Buttigieg being named as President-Elect Biden’s Secretary of Transportation and the increased prospect of new funding support for airlines as part of the larger stimulus package working its way through Congress. With these significant events alongside the rest of the issues facing the airline industry today, there's no more perfect guest to help parse the ongoing changes to the industry than Faye Malarkey Black, President and CEO of the Regional Airline Association, or more commonly known as RAA.
As President and CEO of RAA, Faye leads an industry trade organization representing 17 North American regional airlines and 150 associate members. In the United States, RAA member airlines operate 40 percent of the flights, at the end of 2019 employed about 70,000 individuals, and provide the only source of scheduled passenger air service to two-thirds of the nation’s airports. Ms. Black oversees the daily operations of the Association, develops and executes its policy and business objectives, and serves as the primary spokesperson for the regional airline industry.
With more than two decades of experience in policy, strategic leadership, business development, and management, Ms. Black has served the RAA since 1998 and was formerly senior vice president - government affairs. Ms. Black began her career in Pennsylvania, holding key positions in voter targeting and communications in 1994 and 1996 coordinated state campaigns. She formerly worked for U.S. Senator Harris Wofford and later served as an executive at Smithbucklin Corporation, providing strategic advice to trade associations seeking to build effective advocacy programs and helping emerging businesses in developing democracies develop business support networks under a U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) subcontract. Ms. Black holds a Bachelor of Arts from the University of Pittsburgh and is based in Washington DC.
More information about the Regional Airline Association can be found by visiting the Association's website at http://www.raa.org and the organization posts regular news and policy updates on Twitter at @RAATweets.

CARES Act Extension, Biden Transition, and Regional Airline Policy with Regional Airline Association President & CEO Faye Malarkey Black

Within the United States, the vast majority of airline pilots have organized themselves into unions, which collectively represent and bargain with each airline’s management regarding work rules, pay, and other elements of working life. The largest and arguably most well known of these unions is the Air Line Pilots Association, International, or ALPA. Joining the podcast are four leaders from ALPA’s national-level Professional Development Group for a conversation about the union, its role in the industry, and what the union is doing in these turbulent times. ALPA’s national-level Professional Development Group, which is led by ALPA’s Vice President of Administration, Capt. Bill Couette, is tasked with enhancing the professional development and well-being of all current and future ALPA pilots by promoting, fostering, supporting, and securing a sustainable career path.
Joining the podcast today are:
First Officer Kandy Bernskoetter serves as the National Membership Chair for ALPA, which represents 59,000 plus pilots at 35 airlines across the United States and Canada. She is a First Officer on the Boeing 777 for FedEx, and currently serves as an appointed member to the Secretary of Transportation's Women in Aviation Advisory Board.
Captain David Farmer serves as the National Leadership Committee Chair, which engages in training and mentorship for local Council, Master Executive Council officers, and national committee leaders. He is currently an Airbus A330 Captain for Delta Air Lines, and has over 30 years of service as an ALPA volunteer across all levels of the organization.
First Officer Justin Dahan is a member of ALPA's Education Committee and the liaison to Embry Riddle Aeronautical University, which helps foster the next generation of ALPA members at universities and flight schools around the United States. He currently flies the Boeing 757 for FedEx and has worked with ALPA from his time as a student at ERAU, to a regional airline, and now to his current role.
First Officer Camila Turrieta is Chair of the Diversity & Inclusion Committee, which works to engage the industry and organization toward becoming a more diverse, equitable, and inclusive environment for all. She currently flies the Airbus A320 series for JetBlue and has extensive experience as a volunteer for Women in Aviation, the Organization of Black Aerospace Professionals, and the Latino Pilots Association.
More information about ALPA and its mission can be found by visiting www.alpa.org. The organization can be found on social media by following @wearealpa on Twitter and @we_are_alpa on Instagram. ALPA also hosts its own podcast series, Flying the Line. More information for students or those interested in a career in aviation, can visit clearedtodream.org, which has more information about the pathway to a pilot career.

Fostering a Pilot Union: a Conversation with ALPA’s Professional Development Group Leaders

Pour yourself a Friday #avgeek Cocktail for today's episode, as Henry Harteveldt, the Founder and President of Atmosphere Research Group and God-Tier Avgeek joins P-56 for an interesting and insightful discussion of the economics of air travel today. This episode takes a deep dive into the current business travel landscape along with unique insights from Henry's surveys of passengers and business travel managers regarding to resumption of travel and attitudes toward flying on the 737 MAX. 
Henry Harteveldt is one of the travel industry’s most well-known and respected analysts and advisors. He currently serves as Founder and President of the Atmosphere Research Group, which provides objective research and perspectives for the global travel industry including airlines, hotels, and other providers. With expertise in marketing, technology, customer experience, advertising, and many more areas, Henry is regularly called upon to provide advice and insight to large airlines, industry insiders, and the media.
Prior to founding the Atmosphere Research Group, Henry headed Forrester Research's global travel practice; and cut his teeth working in various marketing, planning, distribution, and strategy roles for TWA, Continental Airlines, and the Fairmount Hotel Group.
In addition to his professional experience, Henry is a God-Tier aviation geek, with particular appreciation for TWA, Braniff, and airline-themed "Friday AvGeek Cocktails" featuring vintage airline glassware to match the drink. He is based in San Francisco. You can find Henry and the weekly #avgeek cocktail on Twitter at @hharteveldt or e-mail him at henry@atmosphereresearch.com.

The Business of Business Travel with Henry Harteveldt of the Atmosphere Research Group

After a short hiatus due to the election and other pressing current events, The P-56 Podcast returns to the airwaves with Jon Ostrower, Editor in Chief of The Air Current, one of the newest and most in-depth aviation news sources for public consumption today. In this episode we discuss Jon and his colleague Courtney Miller's forecast for airline recovery, the relationship between aviation and the environment, how automotive development in the late 1800s and early 1900s and its effect on the aviation industry mirrors the developments happening today in the electric vehicle world, what's to come for aviation in President-Elect Biden's administration, and the all-important return of the Boeing 737MAX to the skies in the coming weeks and months.
Jon Ostrower is Editor in Chief of The Air Current, an exclusive source of news and insight for the business and technology of flying. Prior to launching TAC, Jon served as Aviation Editor for CNN International, as an aerospace business and safety writer for the Wall Street Journal, and editor of the award-winning FlightBlogger for Flightglobal and Flight International Magazine. He's covered Boeing extensively, with a focus on new airplane programs from the Boeing 787 to today's new developments. Originally from Boston, he graduated from The George Washington University's School of Media and Public Affairs. He's currently based in Seattle. The Air Current can be found at TheAirCurrent.com and Jon can be followed on Twitter and Instagram at @jonostrower.

First Things First, Let's Buckle Those Belts: Economic Turbulence Ahead for Airlines & Airports with Bill Swelbar, Airline Consultant

Download our free app to listen on your phone