Restarting: I need a way to keep track of important things than I have read, plus ideas and reactions that I have had. Trying to do it Friday mornings seems a good thing to try. And by now there is quite a backlog. January 20, just before my start-of-the-semester & Trump-inauguration schedule collapse, when I started the serious dropping of eggs on the floor, was the last time I did a “Weekly Briefly Noted”, after all:So let me catch up, starting with the last third of January. What did I write, and what did I find it important enough as I read it to make a SubStack Note about? These:

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SubStack NOTES:”You’re trying to kidnap what I have rightfully stolen” … \n\nAnd:\n\nMatt Levine: OpenAI Doesn’t Want AI Cheaters: ‘I have a lot of sympathy for both sides…. 1. If you publish words on the internet, you have some proprietary rights to them…. 2. If you publish words on the internet, people can read them! If you put your ideas out into the world, you should expect — hope — that they will influence people…. Ahahahahaha I can’t believe that they used OpenAI’s work to train their AI model! How rude!… ","body_json":{"type":"doc","attrs":{"schemaVersion":"v1"},"content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"},{"type":"italic"}],"text":"CyberGrifters"},{"type":"text","text":": "},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":"Intellectual-property fundamentalism not at all a good look for OpenAi right now at all:"}]},{"type":"blockquote","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}],"text":"John Scalzi"},{"type":"text","text":": ‘OpenAI to DeepSeek right now: ”You’re trying to kidnap what I have rightfully stolen” … <"},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://www.threads.net/@jscalzi/post/DFbErPCS-DG?__readwiseLocation=","target":"_blank","rel":"nofollow ugc noopener","class":"note-link"}}],"text":"https://www.threads.net/@jscalzi/post/DFbErPCS-DG?__readwiseLocation="},{"type":"text","text":">"}]}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":"And:"}]},{"type":"blockquote","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}],"text":"Matt Levine"},{"type":"text","text":": OpenAI Doesn’t Want AI Cheaters"},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}],"text":": ‘"},{"type":"text","text":"I have a lot of sympathy for both sides…. 1. If you publish words on the internet, you have some proprietary rights to them…. 2. If you publish words on the internet, people can read them! If you put your ideas out into the world, you should expect — hope — that they will influence people…. Ahahahahaha I can’t believe that they used OpenAI’s work to train their AI model! How rude!… <"},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2025-01-29/openai-doesn-t-want-ai-cheaters?__readwiseLocation=","target":"_blank","rel":"nofollow ugc noopener","class":"note-link"}}],"text":"https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2025-01-29/openai-doesn-t-want-ai-cheaters?__readwiseLocation="},{"type":"text","text":">"}]}]}]},"restacks":1,"reaction_count":7,"attachments":[{"id":"603ff1af-2829-475c-9274-129d17a501eb","type":"link","linkMetadata":{"url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2025-01-29/openai-doesn-t-want-ai-cheaters","host":"bloomberg.com","title":"OpenAI Doesn’t Want AI Cheaters","description":"Distillation, shorts, private company tokenization, Trumpcoin for payments and sportsbook correlation desks.","image":"https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/84c6ad8a-3005-4b95-99a4-39283a51c67d_1200x800.jpeg","original_image":"https://assets.bwbx.io/images/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/iEP18XIGPr5U/v0/1200x800.jpg"},"explicit":false}],"name":"Brad DeLong","user_id":16879,"photo_url":"https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fea5ae644-9822-4ca5-ac6b-e18c017d8fbc_1189x1208.png","user_bestseller_tier":1000}}" data-component-name="CommentPlaceholder">\n\nAnd:\n\nCraig Trudell: Elon Musk Takes Cues From Roy Cohn as Tesla Slumps: ‘The CEO attacked, attacked, attacked after the carmaker reported declining earnings…. Admit nothing, deny everything. Always claim victory. Attack, attack, attack. These were the rules that Roy Cohn, the lawyer and New York City political fixer, lived by while representing and mentoring Donald Trump. It also happens to be how Elon Musk, Trump’s new first buddy, is now running Tesla. As Bloomberg Opinion’s Liam Denning puts it in his latest column, Tesla’s latest numbers were awful…. The only people who are skeptical that Teslas will soon drive autonomously, he claimed, haven’t even tried the company’s technology. He predicted other carmakers eventually will have no choice but to license what Tesla calls Full Self-Driving…. And Trump’s plans to do away with pro-EV policies? They don’t matter… \n\nPlus:\n\nStephen Morris: Tesla results disappoint but Musk touts coming robots and ‘cybercabs’: ‘Musk on Wednesday said Tesla would launch a driverless ride-hailing service in the company’s home city of Austin, Texas, within six months, whilst releasing a prototype of its Optimus humanoid robot this year and starting production of a fleet of autonomous “cybercabs” in 2026…. “I see a path for Tesla being the most valuable company in the world, by far, not even close…. There is a path where Tesla is worth more than the next top five companies combined.”… Musk dismissed the potential impact of Trump cancelling the $7,500 federal EV tax credit, saying that soon “all transport will be autonomous and electric, including aircraft — it can’t be stopped any more than the advent of the internal combustion engine” replacing steam and horses…. He said: “There is no company in the world as good at real world AI as Tesla. I don’t even know who second place is . . . I would need a very big telescope to see them, that’s how far behind they are…” \n\nIndeed:\n\nDan McCrum: A fork in the road for Tesla: ‘Clean power versus white power…. Maybe the days when buying a Tesla was a statement about the climate, or embracing a positive future, are long gone. Maybe the share price is impervious to financial gravity. Maybe car buyers won’t care about what is already being called the “salute hoax”.\n\nIf investors do start to worry that Musk could become more associated with white power than clean power, however, from $1.4tn it’s an awfully long way down… \n\n","body_json":{"type":"doc","attrs":{"schemaVersion":"v1"},"content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"},{"type":"italic"}],"text":"Crypto & Other CyberGrifters"},{"type":"text","text":": "},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":"Put me down as placing a bet that there is a 10% chance that Elon Musk will go effectively bankrupt sometime in the next decade. The fundamentals of his meme-stock empire are… not sound:"}]},{"type":"blockquote","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}],"text":"Dan McCrum"},{"type":"text","text":": Tesla’s departure from reality, in one chart: ‘Strange as it may seem for a car company expected to change the world, again, the Tesla share price used to have a passing relationship with the profits it was forecast to produce. Yes, it was valued on an earnings multiple other carmakers can only dream about, but see if you can spot the point when Elon Musk’s company became untethered from the humdrum reality of financial expectations. Promises of robots and robotaxis may have been at the forefront of Musk’s commentary around the poor results… on Wednesday, but recall… market reaction to October’s “We, Robot” event… the stock dropped 9 per cent…. Tesla’s market capitalisation has dropped four Hyundais since its Technoking’s Nazi salute, but at $1.2tn it is still valued at about 100 times estimates for profits in 2026, or 35 Hyundais. So, the Trump effect remains in full swing — and few appear keen to interrogate the quality of those earnings while Musk is a prominent colleague of the famously loyal and level-headed President… <"},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://www.ft.com/content/86386740-6087-45d2-9a5a-7a65bb4b7a64","target":"_blank","rel":"nofollow ugc noopener","class":"note-link"}}],"text":"https://www.ft.com/content/86386740-6087-45d2-9a5a-7a65bb4b7a64"},{"type":"text","text":">"}]}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":"And:"}]},{"type":"blockquote","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}],"text":"Craig Trudell"},{"type":"text","text":": Elon Musk Takes Cues From Roy Cohn as Tesla Slumps: ‘The CEO attacked, attacked, attacked after the carmaker reported declining earnings…. Admit nothing, deny everything. Always claim victory. Attack, attack, attack. These were the rules that Roy Cohn, the lawyer and New York City political fixer, lived by while representing and mentoring Donald Trump. It also happens to be how Elon Musk, Trump’s new first buddy, is now running Tesla. As Bloomberg Opinion’s Liam Denning puts it in his latest column, Tesla’s latest numbers were awful…. The only people who are skeptical that Teslas will soon drive autonomously, he claimed, haven’t even tried the company’s technology. He predicted other carmakers eventually will have no choice but to license what Tesla calls Full Self-Driving…. And Trump’s plans to do away with pro-EV policies? They don’t matter… <"},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2025-01-30/elon-musk-takes-cues-from-roy-cohn-as-tesla-slumps?cmpid=BBD013025_hyperdrive&__readwiseLocation=","target":"_blank","rel":"nofollow ugc noopener","class":"note-link"}}],"text":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2025-01-30/elon-musk-takes-cues-from-roy-cohn-as-tesla-slumps?cmpid=BBD013025_hyperdrive&__readwiseLocation="},{"type":"text","text":">"}]}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":"Plus:"}]},{"type":"blockquote","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}],"text":"Stephen Morris"},{"type":"text","text":": Tesla results disappoint but Musk touts coming robots and ‘cybercabs’: ‘Musk on Wednesday said Tesla would launch a driverless ride-hailing service in the company’s home city of Austin, Texas, within six months, whilst releasing a prototype of its Optimus humanoid robot this year and starting production of a fleet of autonomous “cybercabs” in 2026…. “I see a path for Tesla being the most valuable company in the world, by far, not even close…. There is a path where Tesla is worth more than the next top five companies combined.”… Musk dismissed the potential impact of Trump cancelling the $7,500 federal EV tax credit, saying that soon “all transport will be autonomous and electric, including aircraft — it can’t be stopped any more than the advent of the internal combustion engine” replacing steam and horses…. He said: “There is no company in the world as good at real world AI as Tesla. I don’t even know who second place is . . . I would need a very big telescope to see them, that’s how far behind they are…” <"},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://www.ft.com/content/bd9bf576-73bd-470b-acf2-87100e48ece9","target":"_blank","rel":"nofollow ugc noopener","class":"note-link"}}],"text":"https://www.ft.com/content/bd9bf576-73bd-470b-acf2-87100e48ece9"},{"type":"text","text":">"}]}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":"Indeed:"}]},{"type":"blockquote","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}],"text":"Dan McCrum"},{"type":"text","text":": A fork in the road for Tesla: ‘Clean power versus white power…. Maybe the days when buying a Tesla was a statement about the climate, or embracing a positive future, are long gone. Maybe the share price is impervious to financial gravity. Maybe car buyers won’t care about what is already being called the “salute hoax”."}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","text":"If investors do start to worry that Musk could become more associated with white power than clean power, however, from $1.4tn it’s an awfully long way down… "}]}]}]},"restacks":1,"reaction_count":10,"attachments":[{"id":"dbcefdbf-c549-457e-b1de-a47110e5dab9","type":"link","linkMetadata":{"url":"https://www.ft.com/content/bd9bf576-73bd-470b-acf2-87100e48ece9","host":"ft.com","title":"Tesla results disappoint but Musk touts coming robots and ‘cybercabs’","description":"Optimism contrasts with disclosure of its first annual decline in EV sales in more than a decade","image":"https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/7e6afcb6-fa53-48cc-9942-a793e01d0df8_2289x1288.jpeg","original_image":"https://www.ft.com/__origami/service/image/v2/images/raw/https%3A%2F%2Fd1e00ek4ebabms.cloudfront.net%2Fproduction%2Fe47e3350-43f0-45f2-a9d5-22a0502f08f1.jpg?source=next-barrier-page"},"explicit":false}],"name":"Brad DeLong","user_id":16879,"photo_url":"https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fea5ae644-9822-4ca5-ac6b-e18c017d8fbc_1189x1208.png","user_bestseller_tier":1000}}" data-component-name="CommentPlaceholder">","body_json":{"type":"doc","attrs":{"schemaVersion":"v1"},"content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"},{"type":"italic"}],"text":"Culture"},{"type":"text","text":": "},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":"This may be peak bad review. But from the trailer, it looks accurate:"}]},{"type":"blockquote","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}],"text":"Joshua Tyler"},{"type":"text","text":": Star Trek’s Newly Released Movie Accomplishes The Impossible And Sets A New Bar: ‘"},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":"Star Trek: Section 31"},{"type":"text","text":" is one of the worst ideas anyone has ever had, and it’s one of the worst things I’ve ever seen…. It has nothing at all to do with Star Trek. There’s nothing Star Trek about it. Nothing in it looks like Star Trek, Star Trek things are not referenced or mentioned, and it has no bearing on anything in any other part of Star Trek (thank god).  Someone wrote a horrible, horrible "},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":"Suicide Squad"},{"type":"text","text":"/"},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":"Guardians of the Galaxy"},{"type":"text","text":" ripoff mashup and then slapped the Star Trek name on it in hopes of tricking people into giving them money… <"},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://www.giantfreakinrobot.com/ent/section-31-review.html","target":"_blank","rel":"nofollow ugc noopener","class":"note-link"}}],"text":"https://www.giantfreakinrobot.com/ent/section-31-review.html"},{"type":"text","text":">"}]}]}]},"restacks":0,"reaction_count":5,"attachments":[{"id":"1dd741ac-311f-4cbb-9778-5ef3b02a0eba","type":"link","linkMetadata":{"url":"https://www.giantfreakinrobot.com/ent/section-31-review.html","host":"giantfreakinrobot.com","title":"Star Trek’s Newly Released Movie Accomplishes The Impossible And Sets A New Bar","description":"Is it possible for a movie to be evil? This one is, and if Paramount has any sense of shame or decency, it will now shutter the entire company and auction off its assets to the lowest bidder.","image":"https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/8378bae9-f90e-4398-a5fe-3a02ff99d110_1280x720.png","original_image":"https://www.giantfreakinrobot.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/startrek31.png"},"explicit":false}],"name":"Brad DeLong","user_id":16879,"photo_url":"https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fea5ae644-9822-4ca5-ac6b-e18c017d8fbc_1189x1208.png","user_bestseller_tier":1000}}" data-component-name="CommentPlaceholder">\n\nEspecially:\n\n\"Attention\", \"Transformers\", in Neural Network \"Large Language Models\": ‘I find this literature irritating and opaque. This is at least somewhat because I do not yet understand it well, and there's too much of it. But clearly I need to wrap my head around it, before I become technically obsolete. My scare quotes in the title of these notes thus derive in part from jealousy and fear. But only in part… \n\nInterpolation in Statistical Learning, or, Memorizing the Training Data: ‘One of the interesting/surprising phenomena of the current (say 2014--) revival of neural networks… is… models which clearly have the capacity to exactly memorize their training data can nonetheless generalize…. This struck many of us --- myself very much included --- as very weird, even disturbing. In retrospect, we should not have been so surprised…. Back at what seems like the dawn of time, Cover and Cover and Hart showed that the one-nearest-neighbor method, the original \"memorize the training data\" approach, has an asymptotic risk ≤ 2 the risk of the optimal decision rule (under some smoothness assumptions)… \n\nNearest Neighbor Methods in Statistics and Data Mining: ‘Something which, in retrospect, I should have paid more attention to: One-nearest-neighbor regression, and one-nearest-neighbor classification, “interpolates”… always fits the training data perfectly. (Every training point is its own nearest neighbor.) And yet 1NN regression or classification does generalize…. it's possible both to interpolate and to generalize. So some people, like me, really shouldn't have been so surprised when this turned out to happen a lot with deep neural networks… ","body_json":{"type":"doc","attrs":{"schemaVersion":"v1"},"content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"},{"type":"italic"}],"text":"Invisible College"},{"type":"text","text":": "},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":"The brilliant Cosma Shalizi’s website tells me that some forty pages have been updated or written between December 15 and today, with titles ranging from “Millenarianism” to “Interpolation in Statistical Learning, or, Memorizing the Training Data”. I presume this is just some automated script messing with my mind, rather than him having engaged in an absolutely furious and godlike episode of mammoth amounts of high-quality procrastinatory work. But I do need to pay attention. He is (a) smarter than me, and yet (b) just barely close enough to viewing the world the way I view it with tools that I have (sometimes) seen whiz by. That means that whenever I find the time and summon up the mental energy from the Vasty Deep to pay attention—then I learn immense amounts very quickly. YMMV. Or perhaps YMWNV:"}]},{"type":"blockquote","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}],"text":"Cosma Shalizi"},{"type":"text","text":": Notebooks… <"},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"http://bactra.org/notebooks/","target":"_blank","rel":"nofollow ugc noopener","class":"note-link"}}],"text":"http://bactra.org/notebooks/"},{"type":"text","text":">"}]}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":"Especially:"}]},{"type":"blockquote","content":[{"type":"bulletList","content":[{"type":"listItem","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","text":"\"Attention\", \"Transformers\", in Neural Network \"Large Language Models\": ‘I find this literature irritating and opaque. This is at least somewhat because I do not yet understand it well, "},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":"and"},{"type":"text","text":" there's too much of it. But clearly I need to wrap my head around it, before I become technically obsolete. My scare quotes in the title of these notes thus derive in part from jealousy and fear. But only in part… <"},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"http://bactra.org/notebooks/nn-attention-and-transformers.html","target":"_blank","rel":"nofollow ugc noopener","class":"note-link"}}],"text":"http://bactra.org/notebooks/nn-attention-and-transformers.html"},{"type":"text","text":">"}]}]},{"type":"listItem","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","text":"Interpolation in Statistical Learning, or, Memorizing the Training Data: ‘One of the interesting/surprising phenomena of the current (say 2014--) revival of neural networks… is… models which clearly have the capacity to exactly memorize their training data can nonetheless generalize…. This struck many of us --- myself very much included --- as very weird, even disturbing. In retrospect, we should not have been so surprised…. Back at what seems like the dawn of time, Cover and Cover and Hart showed that the one-nearest-neighbor method, the original \"memorize the training data\" approach, has an asymptotic risk ≤ 2 the risk of the optimal decision rule (under some smoothness assumptions)… <"},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"http://bactra.org/notebooks/interpolation.html","target":"_blank","rel":"nofollow ugc noopener","class":"note-link"}}],"text":"http://bactra.org/notebooks/interpolation.html"},{"type":"text","text":">"}]}]},{"type":"listItem","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","text":"Nearest Neighbor Methods in Statistics and Data Mining: ‘Something which, in retrospect, I should have paid more attention to: One-nearest-neighbor regression, and one-nearest-neighbor classification, “interpolates”… always fits the training data perfectly. (Every training point is its own nearest neighbor.) And yet 1NN regression or classification "},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":"does"},{"type":"text","text":" generalize…. it's possible both to interpolate and to generalize. So some people, like me, really "},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":"shouldn't"},{"type":"text","text":" have been so surprised when this turned out to happen a lot with deep neural networks… <"},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"http://bactra.org/notebooks/nearest-neighbors.html","target":"_blank","rel":"nofollow ugc noopener","class":"note-link"}}],"text":"http://bactra.org/notebooks/nearest-neighbors.html"},{"type":"text","text":">"}]}]}]}]}]},"restacks":3,"reaction_count":6,"attachments":[{"id":"b28692b1-64ab-42b1-881b-3fb7d7956a35","type":"link","linkMetadata":{"url":"http://bactra.org/notebooks/nearest-neighbors.html","host":"bactra.org","title":"Nearest Neighbor Methods in Statistics and Data Mining","original_image":"http://www.raelity.org/images/pb_blosxom.gif"},"explicit":false}],"name":"Brad DeLong","user_id":16879,"photo_url":"https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fea5ae644-9822-4ca5-ac6b-e18c017d8fbc_1189x1208.png","user_bestseller_tier":1000}}" data-component-name="CommentPlaceholder">","body_json":{"type":"doc","attrs":{"schemaVersion":"v1"},"content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"},{"type":"italic"}],"text":"Donald Trump’s Mind Is Largely Gone"},{"type":"text","text":": "},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":"He keeps talking about how due to him water is being magically transported over the Cascades and the Sierras into California’s central valley:"}]},{"type":"blockquote","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}],"text":"Donald Trump"},{"type":"text","text":": ‘The United States Military just entered the Great State of California and, under Emergency Powers, TURNED ON THE WATER flowing abundantly from the Pacific Northwest, and beyond. The days of putting a Fake Environmental argument, over the PEOPLE, are OVER. Enjoy the water, California!!!…"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}],"text":"reporter"},{"type":"text","text":": "},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":"“could you please clarify what the military did with the California water last night, as referenced in the president’s Truth Social post?”"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}],"text":"Karoline Leavitt"},{"type":"text","text":": "},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":"“the water has been turned back on in California.”"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}],"text":"reporter"},{"type":"text","text":": "},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":"“so could you clarify what the military’s role was? where the water came from, and how it got there?”"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}],"text":"Leavitt"},{"type":"text","text":": 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The \"large-scale, big-data, high-dimensional regression and classification analysis” part is either the ace or the joker or both that we cannot now assess. We will find out how much of what we call “thinking” can be done or effectively simulated by interpolation in multi-thousand dimensional vector spaces by tireless entities with enormous numbers of at-bats drawing on huge piles of data. On the one hand, it is just interpolation. On the other hand, we strongly suspect that “it’s just a Chinese Room” runs into the problem that we are just very large Chinese Rooms. But remember: while a horse is a lot stronger than a person, there are still ways today in which you would rather have a person than a horse (or a person and a horse) to move heavy objects:"}]},{"type":"blockquote","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}],"text":"Dan Davies"},{"type":"text","text":": toward a sensible AI-skepticism: ‘future proofing your takes…. 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I’m not sure whether I would describe myself as an AI sceptic[1]; I have a horrible feeling that my actual position is “person who reacts in opposition to the last thing he heard”. And so I find myself bouncing between takes, skidding away from “it’…","wordcount":1164,"postTags":[],"teaser_post_eligible":true,"postCountryBlocks":[],"headlineTest":null,"publishedBylines":[{"id":971013,"name":"Dan Davies","handle":"backofmind","previous_name":null,"photo_url":"https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3fab90fe-ebdc-41b1-9bbf-567d3cdb362b_75x80.png","bio":"Writer of \"The Unaccountability Machine\", an attempted to make information theory do the work economics can't. Former stock analyst and economist. 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\"Back of Mind\"","is_personal_mode":false,"like_count":46,"comment_count":26,"tracking_parameters":{"is_saved":false,"is_seen":true,"post_id":156022459,"post_type":"newsletter","publication_id":3080,"tabId":"home","tabType":"base","max_read_progress":0.7652373442778716,"max_audio_progress":0,"max_video_progress":0,"last_seen_at":"2025-01-29T19:43:15.442Z","last_reading_queue_impression_at":"2025-01-30T19:51:45.126Z"},"uuid":"bc71d206-335d-47db-9417-790219d243d2"},"is_saved":false,"saved_at":null,"is_viewed":true,"read_progress":0.7652373442778716,"max_read_progress":0.7652373442778716,"audio_progress":0,"max_audio_progress":0,"video_progress":0,"max_video_progress":0,"restacked":false},"postSelection":null,"postSelectionTheme":null,"postImageSelection":null,"clipInfo":null,"mediaClip":null}],"name":"Brad DeLong","user_id":16879,"photo_url":"https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fea5ae644-9822-4ca5-ac6b-e18c017d8fbc_1189x1208.png","user_bestseller_tier":1000}}" data-component-name="CommentPlaceholder">\n\nHe’s trying to prepare the way for wiggling out of the promise—change the promise from “lower prices” to “lower prices and raise wages” and then eventually weasel his way to “we accomplished half our goal, because nominal wages did go up, because we were blocked by the woke mob”.","body_json":{"type":"doc","attrs":{"schemaVersion":"v1"},"content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"},{"type":"italic"}],"text":"Live from the Chaos-Monkey Cage"},{"type":"text","text":": "},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":"Republicans do not expect prices to fall—do not expect actual deflation. But they do expect inflation to be zero. It won’t be. And JD Vance (he now spells it that way, without abreviatory periods?) has no clue what he is doing:"}]},{"type":"blockquote","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}],"text":"Margaret Brennan & JD Vance"},{"type":"text","text":": ‘You campaigned on lowering prices for consumers. We’ve seen all these executive orders. Which one lowers prices?’ ‘We have done a lot. And there have been a number of executive orders that have caused, already, jobs to start coming back into our country, which is a core part of lowering prices. More capital investment, more job creation in our economy, is one of the things that’s going to drive down prices for all consumers but also raise wages so that people can afford to buy the things they need…’ ‘So grocery prices aren’t going to come down?’ ‘No, no, Margaret, prices are going to come down, but it’s going to take a little bit of time…. The way that you lower prices is that you encourage more capital investment into our country…’ <"},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://newrepublic.com/post/190716/jd-vance-donald-trump-plan-lower-food-prices","target":"_blank","rel":"nofollow ugc noopener","class":"note-link"}}],"text":"https://newrepublic.com/post/190716/jd-vance-donald-trump-plan-lower-food-prices"},{"type":"text","text":">"}]}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":"He’s trying to prepare the way for wiggling out of the promise—change the promise from “lower prices” to “lower prices and raise wages” and then eventually weasel his way to “we accomplished half our goal, because nominal wages did go up, because we were blocked by the woke mob”."}]}]},"restacks":2,"reaction_count":5,"attachments":[{"id":"4c34c3c7-494b-4878-9ed7-72cf058103e0","type":"link","linkMetadata":{"url":"https://newrepublic.com/post/190716/jd-vance-donald-trump-plan-lower-food-prices","host":"newrepublic.com","title":"JD Vance Finally Admits What Trump’s Big Plan to Lower Food Prices Is","description":"The plan is no plan.","image":"https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/cac28007-4eea-44c5-9d0b-167e40a8866f_1200x630.jpeg","original_image":"https://images.newrepublic.com/2141b4ea0f3150d7e88ca4c5e880b28f0644ef2e.jpeg?w=1200&h=630&crop=faces&fit=crop&fm=jpg"},"explicit":false}],"name":"Brad DeLong","user_id":16879,"photo_url":"https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fea5ae644-9822-4ca5-ac6b-e18c017d8fbc_1189x1208.png","user_bestseller_tier":1000}}" data-component-name="CommentPlaceholder">\n\nIt is not that bankers will suddenly start saying “pussy” and “retard”. And it is not that I will replace those moments when I say “have the ovaries” with “have the balls” or “have the stones”. But in their hearts of hearts there are male bankers who will fantasize that like maybe they could say “grab ‘em the pussy” because the president does, and it would have no negative social consequences for them. And they know that it is a fantasy. But the fact that they feel they have permission to have that fantasy does make them feel happy.\n\nThis, by contrast, is not spot on:\n\nMatt Yglesias: “Defund the language police”: ‘Point seven of the Common Sense Manifesto is itself a little ambivalent: “Politeness is a virtue, but obsessive language policing alienates most people and degrades the quality of thinking…” Some on the left have always maintained that what others criticize as creeping PC totalitarianism is just basic politeness. I don’t think that’s ever been true. But it’s also never been totally false. It’s completely reasonable that there’s some pressure in society to uphold standards of conduct around language, and people really should try to be nice. Nonetheless, it’s a real problem for a movement trying to operate in electoral politics to maintain language-policing as a core value… \n\nMatt: But when you say:\n\nIf you talk about “bums,” you sound like an asshole. If you talk about “people experiencing homelessness” or “the unhoused,” you sound like a leftist academic or nonprofit worker. If you talk about “homeless people” or “the homeless,” you sound normal…\n\nYou then undermine your final claim that:\n\nworrying a lot about people using naughty phrases is a waste of time at best and a dangerous step away from free speech at worst. Try to fix real problems and communicate with clarity and broad appeal, and don’t worry too much about how other people are talking…\n\nThe way to “not worry too much about how other people are talking” is, I think, not to worry too much about how other people are talking.\n\nYes, there are some largely parasitic groups within the Democratic Party that seek power within it by attempting to make language-policing a core value—by actually spending or rather trying to accumulate within-party political capital by negging “normies”. But wandering around spending your own internal within-Dems political capital telling people “don’t say BIPOC!” is not something likely to move the ball downfield.\n\nAnd if you have any examples of Red State or Purple State Democratic representatives or candidates doing so, I would like receipts, please. (OK, you do have one anti-male microäggression from Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN).) But I do not see her or any other of her peers “spending political capital trying to get other people to adopt avant-garde terminology or worrying a lot about people using naughty phrases…”","body_json":{"type":"doc","attrs":{"schemaVersion":"v1"},"content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"},{"type":"italic"}],"text":"Neofascism"},{"type":"text","text":": "},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":"Matt Yglesias is spot-on with this paragraph:"}]},{"type":"blockquote","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}],"text":"Matt Yglesias"},{"type":"text","text":": “Defund the language police”: ‘The funniest article of the Trump transition was a"},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":" Financial"},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":"Times"},{"type":"text","text":" piece about bankers psyched for… MAGA… [with] an anonymous finance guy as saying, “I feel liberated. We can say ‘retard’ and ‘pussy’ without the fear of getting cancelled.” The funny part is that the quote is anonymous…. He almost certainly has female coworkers and female family members who’d get mad at him. He probably works with people who have close family members with disabilities. Trump winning sort of signifies a rejection of this kind of politically correct pressure to modify your speech, but it also sort of doesn’t, not really…. The very fact that conservative political ascendancy could be associated with greater freedom to use vulgar language is a reminder of the ambiguous nature of the ongoing vibe shift — Pat Robertson and Jerry Falwell weren’t telling people to talk like that… <"},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://www.slowboring.com/p/defund-the-language-police?publication_id=159185&post_id=155502746&isFreemail=false&r=d0v&triedRedirect=true","target":"_blank","rel":"nofollow ugc noopener","class":"note-link"}}],"text":"https://www.slowboring.com/p/defund-the-language-police?publication_id=159185&post_id=155502746&isFreemail=false&r=d0v&triedRedirect=true"},{"type":"text","text":">"}]}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":"It is not that bankers will suddenly start saying “pussy” and “retard”. And it is not that I will replace those moments when I say “have the ovaries” with “have the balls” or “have the stones”. But in their hearts of hearts there are male bankers who will fantasize that like maybe they could say “grab ‘em the pussy” because the president does, and it would have no negative social consequences for them. And they know that it is a fantasy. But the fact that they feel they have permission to have that fantasy does make them feel happy."}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":"This, by contrast, is not spot on:"}]},{"type":"blockquote","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}],"text":"Matt Yglesias"},{"type":"text","text":": “Defund the language police”: ‘Point seven of the Common Sense Manifesto is itself a little ambivalent: “Politeness is a virtue, but obsessive language policing alienates most people and degrades the quality of thinking…” Some on the left have always maintained that what others criticize as creeping PC totalitarianism is just basic politeness. I don’t think that’s ever been true. But it’s also never been totally false. It’s completely reasonable that there’s "},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":"some"},{"type":"text","text":" pressure in society to uphold standards of conduct around language, and people really should try to be nice. Nonetheless, it’s a real problem for a movement trying to operate in electoral politics to maintain language-policing as a core value… <"},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://www.slowboring.com/p/defund-the-language-police?publication_id=159185&post_id=155502746&isFreemail=false&r=d0v&triedRedirect=true","target":"_blank","rel":"nofollow ugc noopener","class":"note-link"}}],"text":"https://www.slowboring.com/p/defund-the-language-police?publication_id=159185&post_id=155502746&isFreemail=false&r=d0v&triedRedirect=true"},{"type":"text","text":">"}]}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":"Matt: But when you say:"}]},{"type":"blockquote","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","text":"If you talk about “bums,” you sound like an asshole. If you talk about “people experiencing homelessness” or “the unhoused,” you sound like a leftist academic or nonprofit worker. If you talk about “homeless people” or “the homeless,” you sound normal…"}]}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":"You then undermine your final claim that:"}]},{"type":"blockquote","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","text":"worrying a lot about people using naughty phrases is a waste of time at best and a dangerous step away from free speech at worst. Try to fix real problems and communicate with clarity and broad appeal, and don’t worry too much about how other people are talking…"}]}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":"The way to “not worry too much about how other people are talking” is, I think, not to worry too much about how other people are talking."}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":"Yes, there are some largely parasitic groups within the Democratic Party that seek power within it by attempting to make language-policing a core value—by actually spending or rather trying to accumulate within-party political capital by negging “normies”. But wandering around spending your own internal within-Dems political capital telling people “don’t say BIPOC!” is not something likely to move the ball downfield."}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":"And if you have any examples of Red State or Purple State Democratic representatives or candidates doing so, I would like receipts, please. (OK, you do have one anti-male microäggression from Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN).) But I do not see her or any other of her peers “spending political capital trying to get other people to adopt avant-garde terminology or worrying a lot about people using naughty phrases…”"}]}]},"restacks":0,"reaction_count":15,"attachments":[{"id":"44f7e327-74ae-46c3-9f4e-3c1e2a2cdb39","type":"post","publication":{"apple_pay_disabled":false,"apex_domain":null,"author_id":580004,"byline_images_enabled":true,"bylines_enabled":true,"chartable_token":null,"community_enabled":true,"copyright":"Matthew Yglesias","cover_photo_url":"https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/30853a76-f991-41d5-832b-17ee522cc84c_685x600.png","created_at":"2020-11-05T16:20:32.177Z","custom_domain_optional":false,"custom_domain":"www.slowboring.com","custom_publication_theme_id":null,"default_comment_sort":"best_first","default_coupon":null,"default_group_coupon":"39f3aa9a","default_show_guest_bios":true,"email_banner_url":null,"email_from_name":"Matthew 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Donald Trump is a deadly menace:"}]},{"type":"blockquote","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}],"text":"Brandy Zadrony"},{"type":"text","text":": “Experts saw Samoa's plunging vaccination rates as a crisis. RFK Jr. saw an opportunity”: ‘When Robert F. Kennedy Jr. visited in June 2019, Samoa was on the brink of crisis. The government had suspended measles vaccinations the year before after an improperly prepared vaccine killed two babies. Though the vaccinations resumed months later, many parents weren’t convinced that the shots were safe, leaving thousands of their smallest children unprotected against a highly contagious disease…. With fewer than a third of Samoa’s babies vaccinated… Kennedy saw an opportunity…. Kennedy [was] then chairman of Children’s Health Defense, an anti-vaccine nonprofit…. Months after Kennedy’s visit, the question of what would happen to Samoa’s unvaccinated babies was answered. A measles outbreak swept the country, sickening thousands and killing 83, mostly small children. As measles raged, Kennedy stayed connected to the island, writing to the prime minister to raise concerns about the vaccine and providing medical guidance to a local anti-vaccine activist who posted false claims about the vaccination campaign…. Kennedy’s spokesperson within the Trump transition team declined to respond to questions…. Kennedy… did not return requests for comment…. He has also questioned whether measles caused the spate of deaths, calling it a “very controversial supposition” in a 2023 interview with NBC News…. Kennedy has never acknowledged the damage measles caused in Samoa and continues to promote conspiracy theories about the lives lost. “Nobody died in Samoa from measles,” he told an interviewer in August. “They were dying from a bad vaccine”… <"},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/rfk-jr-samoa-measles-vaccine-crisis-rcna187787?__readwiseLocation=","target":"_blank","rel":"nofollow ugc noopener","class":"note-link"}}],"text":"https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/rfk-jr-samoa-measles-vaccine-crisis-rcna187787?__readwiseLocation="},{"type":"text","text":">"}]}]}]},"restacks":1,"reaction_count":6,"attachments":[{"id":"83243ec8-7b8c-49ff-a81c-b3b7caf07837","type":"link","linkMetadata":{"url":"https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/rfk-jr-samoa-measles-vaccine-crisis-rcna187787","host":"nbcnews.com","title":"Experts saw Samoa’s plunging vaccination rates as a crisis. RFK Jr. saw an opportunity.","description":"New details show how Robert F. Kennedy Jr., then chair of an anti-vaccine group and now Trump’s pick for health secretary, sought to exploit a deadly vaccine accident.","original_image":"https://media-cldnry.s-nbcnews.com/image/upload/t_nbcnews-fp-1200-630,f_auto,q_auto:best/rockcms/2025-01/250115-rfk-samoa-lr-19ffee.jpg"},"explicit":false}],"name":"Brad DeLong","user_id":16879,"photo_url":"https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fea5ae644-9822-4ca5-ac6b-e18c017d8fbc_1189x1208.png","user_bestseller_tier":1000}}" data-component-name="CommentPlaceholder"> that Israel had a “Biblical right” to the West Bank. If you had any doubts about what Trump thinks, he told reporters on Air Force One that he’d like to see Gazans expelled and taken in by Egypt and Jordan, saying, “We just clean out that whole thing”… \n\nHere it is:\n\nHeba Saleh & Neri Zilber: “Trump proposes ‘clean out’ of Gaza population”: ‘US president urges Egypt and Jordan to take in people from “demolition site”…. “I’d like Egypt to take people. And I’d like Jordan to take people,” the US president told reporters aboard Air Force One. “You’re talking about a million and half people, and we just clean out that whole thing.”… Trump said he has already discussed his proposal to relocate Gaza’s population with King Abdullah of Jordan on Saturday and will bring it up on Sunday in a phone call with Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, Egypt’s president…. “I’d rather get involved with some of the Arab nations and build housing at a different location where they can maybe live in peace for a change”. Trump said a population transfer “could be temporarily or could be long term”. The prewar population of Gaza was 2.2mn…. Trump’s Gaza proposal… delighted leaders of Israel’s far-right. Finance minister Bezalel Smotrich described Trump’s suggestion as a “wonderful idea”, adding that “only outside-the-box thinking over new solutions will bring … peace and security”. Itamar Ben-Gvir, the former Israeli national security minister who resigned in protest last week over the Gaza ceasefire deal, “praised” Trump for floating the idea… ","body_json":{"type":"doc","attrs":{"schemaVersion":"v1"},"content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"},{"type":"italic"}],"text":"War & Rumors of War"},{"type":"text","text":": "},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":"Everyone who pretended that Biden’s not putting insufficient pressure on Netanyahu was a reason not to vote for Harris needs to give all they have to the poor, take up a life of anonymous service to others, and shut the fuck up for life:"}]},{"type":"blockquote","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}],"text":"John Ganz"},{"type":"text","text":": “Trump's Paleocon Foreign Policy”: ‘Trump’s new ambassador to Israel, Mike Huckabee, recently said <"},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/1/21/trumps-un-ambassador-pick-says-israel-has-biblical-right-to-west-bank","target":"_blank","rel":"nofollow ugc noopener","class":"note-link"}}],"text":"https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/1/21/trumps-un-ambassador-pick-says-israel-has-biblical-right-to-west-bank"},{"type":"text","text":" that Israel had a “Biblical right” to the West Bank. If you had any doubts about what Trump thinks, he told reporters on Air Force One that he’d like to see Gazans expelled <"},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/1/21/trumps-un-ambassador-pick-says-israel-has-biblical-right-to-west-bank","target":"_blank","rel":"nofollow ugc noopener","class":"note-link"}}],"text":"https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/1/21/trumps-un-ambassador-pick-says-israel-has-biblical-right-to-west-bank"},{"type":"text","text":" and taken in by Egypt and Jordan, saying, “We just clean out that whole thing”… <"},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://www.unpopularfront.news/p/more-adorno-trumps-paleocon-foreign?publication_id=112019&post_id=155756752&isFreemail=false&r=d0v&triedRedirect=true&__readwiseLocation=","target":"_blank","rel":"nofollow ugc noopener","class":"note-link"}}],"text":"https://www.unpopularfront.news/p/more-adorno-trumps-paleocon-foreign?publication_id=112019&post_id=155756752&isFreemail=false&r=d0v&triedRedirect=true&__readwiseLocation="},{"type":"text","text":">"}]}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":"Here it is:"}]},{"type":"blockquote","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}],"text":"Heba Saleh & Neri Zilber:"},{"type":"text","text":" “Trump proposes ‘clean out’ of Gaza population”: ‘US president urges Egypt and Jordan to take in people from “demolition site”…. “I’d like Egypt to take people. And I’d like Jordan to take people,” the US president told reporters aboard Air Force One. “You’re talking about a million and half people, and we just clean out that whole thing.”… Trump said he has already discussed his proposal to relocate Gaza’s population with King Abdullah of Jordan on Saturday and will bring it up on Sunday in a phone call with Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, Egypt’s president…. “I’d rather get involved with some of the Arab nations and build housing at a different location where they can maybe live in peace for a change”. Trump said a population transfer “could be temporarily or could be long term”. The prewar population of Gaza was 2.2mn…. Trump’s Gaza proposal… delighted leaders of Israel’s far-right. Finance minister Bezalel Smotrich described Trump’s suggestion as a “wonderful idea”, adding that “only outside-the-box thinking over new solutions will bring … peace and security”. Itamar Ben-Gvir, the former Israeli national security minister who resigned in protest last week over the Gaza ceasefire deal, “praised” Trump for floating the idea… <"},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://www.ft.com/content/8f532d01-a8cc-49e3-b1db-31e3da8d3771?accessToken=zwAGLJ4dxtIAkdOPUy0BqMxJ49Ox2zHj2o03cQ.MEUCID9hjjgWdcUtgYf-1xyreNYvMemG6D19X9aq2DXK8UT_AiEAoReVgRV80E0F_3Ui26rG5Fad0YkkaGy5BBVhqNi2h-0&sharetype=gift&token=60ca6b25-a8c0-4e25-8bfc-491e2d7ecf70“I’d","target":"_blank","rel":"nofollow ugc noopener","class":"note-link"}}],"text":"https://www.ft.com/content/8f532d01-a8cc-49e3-b1db-31e3da8d3771?accessToken=zwAGLJ4dxtIAkdOPUy0BqMxJ49Ox2zHj2o03cQ.MEUCID9hjjgWdcUtgYf-1xyreNYvMemG6D19X9aq2DXK8UT_AiEAoReVgRV80E0F_3Ui26rG5Fad0YkkaGy5BBVhqNi2h-0&sharetype=gift&token=60ca6b25-a8c0-4e25-8bfc-491e2d7ecf70“I’d"}]}]}]},"restacks":2,"reaction_count":8,"attachments":[{"id":"1702b119-4acf-49fa-8e7e-cb368346add0","type":"link","linkMetadata":{"url":"https://www.ft.com/content/8f532d01-a8cc-49e3-b1db-31e3da8d3771","host":"ft.com","title":"Trump proposes ‘clean out’ of Gaza population","description":"US president urges Egypt and Jordan to take in people from ‘demolition site’","image":"https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/9eb48a5f-cd97-4857-916b-727ea1b00252_2058x1158.jpeg","original_image":"https://www.ft.com/__origami/service/image/v2/images/raw/https%3A%2F%2Fd1e00ek4ebabms.cloudfront.net%2Fproduction%2Faf1a53a9-8f48-44a0-b5c7-9361a59083e1.jpg?source=next-barrier-page"},"explicit":false}],"name":"Brad DeLong","user_id":16879,"photo_url":"https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fea5ae644-9822-4ca5-ac6b-e18c017d8fbc_1189x1208.png","user_bestseller_tier":1000}}" data-component-name="CommentPlaceholder">\n\nThe fascist con game is then for the Leader to say that you are being dominated by individuals, but they are hidden—rootless cosmopolites of one stripe or another—and I will fight and vanquish them. The fact that the enemies of the people are weak when they are not imaginary means that you can stage kayfabe WWE-style spectacles in which they are vanquished.","body_json":{"type":"doc","attrs":{"schemaVersion":"v1"},"content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"},{"type":"italic"}],"text":"Neofascism"},{"type":"text","text":": "},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":"The Frankfurt School idea that in modern civilization humans are dominated not by individuals who make claims that they deserve to be in authority. Instead dominated by systems—capitalism, bureaucracy, ideology. Individuals can make claims to legitimate authority: claim that they were chosen by god, or won in a fair contest, or have gone through a selection process that demonstrates their genetic or moral superiority. Thus they can join their raw power to a claim that their authority is legitimate. And the acceptance of that legitimation—that form of hegemony—has long been what maintains societies of domination. But a system cannot claim legitimate authority for yourself. Thus comes the strong desire for somebody to tell you why you have no real autonomy, and to fix it. One way to fix it is to try to fix the systems—the long, slow scratching away to create a hole in a thick plank of hardwood. The other way is the fascist con game: to claim that your lack of real autonomy is the result of actions of individuals who have no legitimate authority, and that I deserve legitimate authority because I will identify them and lead you forward:"}]},{"type":"blockquote","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}],"text":"John Ganz"},{"type":"text","text":": “More Adorno“: ‘Adorno’s… “Freudian Theory and the Pattern of Fascist Propaganda"},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":"”… "},{"type":"text","text":"[from] 1951… hold[s] up pretty well: “While appearing as a superman, the leader must at the same time work the miracle of appearing as an average person, just as Hitler posed as a composite of King Kong and the suburban barber…. Even the fascist leader's startling symptoms of inferiority, his resemblance to ham actors and asocial psychopaths, is thus antic­ipated in Freud…. Its propaganda must necessarily be… oriented psychologically, and has to mobilize [the] irrational, unconscious, regressive… facilitated by the frame of mind of…those… who suffer from senseless frustrations and therefore develop a stunted, irrational mentality…. It may well be the secret of fascist propaganda that it simply takes men for… children of today's standardized mass culture, largely robbed of autonomy and spontaneity…” <"},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://www.unpopularfront.news/p/more-adorno-trumps-paleocon-foreign?publication_id=112019&post_id=155756752&isFreemail=false&r=d0v&triedRedirect=true&__readwiseLocation=","target":"_blank","rel":"nofollow ugc noopener","class":"note-link"}}],"text":"https://www.unpopularfront.news/p/more-adorno-trumps-paleocon-foreign?publication_id=112019&post_id=155756752&isFreemail=false&r=d0v&triedRedirect=true&__readwiseLocation="},{"type":"text","text":">"}]}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":"The fascist con game is then for the Leader to say that you are being dominated by individuals, but they are hidden—rootless cosmopolites of one stripe or another—and I will fight and vanquish them. 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Still, the Ulbricht pardon - and the political bargain that it represents - tells us a lot about the tendency of purported pirate utopias to degenerate into squalid quasi-tyranny. Projects to build Galt’s Gulch tends again and again to turn into deals with the worst elements of government, when they weren’t actually such deals right from the beginning… ","body_json":{"type":"doc","attrs":{"schemaVersion":"v1"},"content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"},{"type":"italic"}],"text":"Neofascism & the CyberGrifters"},{"type":"text","text":": "},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":"Crypto in its current form is an extraordinarily bizarre end-stage of the idea of investment. The idea was that you gave somebody money now, and they then did something, and their doing that something would then enable them to give you back more money in the future. In its first stage, Web3 was no different. In its second stage, Web3 became “we will build a platform, and the tokens we give you now will (for some reason that we don’t explain) gain you entry to valuable things on the platform”. In its third stage, it became “our tokens will enable you to do things the government would otherwise stop”. And now it has moved on to the fourth stage: “we will gain control of the government, and give you its money”. That is the stage we have now reached:"}]},{"type":"blockquote","content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}],"text":"Henry Farrell"},{"type":"text","text":": “The Sorrowful Tale of the Dread Pirate Roberts“: ‘Ross Ulbricht's pardon, and the squalid bargain between Trump and the Silicon Valley right…. The reason why [Ross] Ulbricht seems attractive - why his cause has gotten support from some surprising people - is that he seems superficially to exemplify a kind of libertarian ideal of a world where the violence of the state would give way to free and voluntary transactions between consenting individuals. But the truth is that Ulbricht was quite as willing to employ violence to go after his enemies as the state that he condemned. Now, a substantial chunk of Silicon Valley soi-disant liberaltarianism is eagerly making the same kind of deal with Donald Trump. Not everyone. Vitalik Buterin, the primary founder of Ethereum, is explicitly distancing himself and the foundation he helps run <"},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://bsky.app/profile/vitalik.ca/post/3lfzrv2iimc2r","target":"_blank","rel":"nofollow ugc noopener","class":"note-link"}}],"text":"https://bsky.app/profile/vitalik.ca/post/3lfzrv2iimc2r"},{"type":"text","text":" from this bargain. Tyler Cowen, who I was personally unhappy with before the election, is now spending some intellectual capital warning about how it may all go wrong <"},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://bsky.app/profile/vitalik.ca/post/3lfzrv2iimc2r","target":"_blank","rel":"nofollow ugc noopener","class":"note-link"}}],"text":"https://bsky.app/profile/vitalik.ca/post/3lfzrv2iimc2r"},{"type":"text","text":". Still, the Ulbricht pardon - and the political bargain that it represents - tells us a lot about the tendency of purported pirate utopias to degenerate into squalid quasi-tyranny. 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"},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}],"text":"REP. BURCHETT"},{"type":"text","text":": If they were truly violent, no. But I don't know that… "},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}],"text":"ACOSTA"},{"type":"text","text":": What do you mean you don't know? We're showing the footage right now…. This is not Fox, congressman. You can't just spin a tale and pull the wool over people's eyes…"}]}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"italic"}],"text":"Truly this is hell, nor are we out of it…"},{"type":"text","text":" <"},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://x.com/atrupar/status/1882102701871214609","target":"_blank","rel":"nofollow ugc noopener","class":"note-link"}}],"text":"https://x.com/atrupar/status/1882102701871214609"},{"type":"text","text":">"}]}]},"restacks":4,"reaction_count":25,"attachments":[{"id":"c87aefa5-5974-43de-85d4-c23bc2c75858","type":"link","linkMetadata":{"url":"https://x.com/atrupar/status/1882102701871214609","host":"x.com","title":"x.com"},"explicit":false}],"name":"Brad DeLong","user_id":16879,"photo_url":"https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fea5ae644-9822-4ca5-ac6b-e18c017d8fbc_1189x1208.png","user_bestseller_tier":1000}}" data-component-name="CommentPlaceholder">

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SubStack Posts: Whenever I have tried to act on the idea that basic Data Science tools are to the modern as acquiring a fine chancery hand was to the late-mediæval university, and so tried to teach my students the basic data science tools as part of some exploratory data analysis modules of my courses, I have for the most part failed and have quickly retreated back to my standard pedagogy. The only cases in which it has worked have been those when I have been teaching Economics 101B – macroeconomics for stem majors. They know the tools, and so use of them for data analysis, and also for model simulation serves as a reminder of what they learned, a skill-booster for what they ought to know, and an aid to their comprehension of the meat of the class. In my other classes, however, the bimodal distribution of students’ previous experience with data science means that my attempt to demonstrate use of the tools is either horrifyingly opaque and bewildering or too boring in elementary, depending on which of the barbells in the distribution a particular student falls into. So, then, why am I trying this again? Because we need to find a way to do this if we are to do our jobs properly. And because I am a glutton for punishment:\n\n====\n\nIn Data Science for Non-STEM Majors, Is Learning-by-Watching Live Calculating Possible? Likely? Reasonable to Expect?\n\nWe commit as much intellectual malpractice when we let our students graduate from the university these days without command of the basic Data Science tools as any of the professors of the late-mediæval university would have committed should they have allowed their students to graduate without command of a fine chancery hand…\n\n< https://braddelong.substack.com/p/in-data-science-for-non-stem-majors >\n\n2025-01-28 Tu","body_json":{"type":"doc","attrs":{"schemaVersion":"v1"},"content":[{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","text":"< "},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://braddelong.substack.com/p/in-data-science-for-non-stem-majors","target":"_blank","rel":"nofollow ugc noopener","class":"note-link"}}],"text":"https://braddelong.substack.com/p/in-data-science-for-non-stem-majors"},{"type":"text","text":" > Whenever I have tried to act on the idea that basic Data Science tools are to the modern as acquiring a fine chancery hand was to the late-mediæval university, and so tried to teach my students the basic data science tools as part of some exploratory data analysis modules of my courses, I have for the most part failed and have quickly retreated back to my standard pedagogy. The only cases in which it has worked have been those when I have been teaching Economics 101B – macroeconomics for stem majors. They know the tools, and so use of them for data analysis, and also for model simulation serves as a reminder of what they learned, a skill-booster for what they ought to know, and an aid to their comprehension of the meat of the class. In my other classes, however, the bimodal distribution of students’ previous experience with data science means that my attempt to demonstrate use of the tools is either horrifyingly opaque and bewildering or too boring in elementary, depending on which of the barbells in the distribution a particular student falls into. So, then, why am I trying this again? Because we need to find a way to do this if we are to do our jobs properly. And because I am a glutton for punishment:"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","text":"===="}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"bold"}],"text":"In Data Science for Non-STEM Majors, Is Learning-by-Watching Live Calculating Possible? Likely? Reasonable to Expect?"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","text":"We commit as much intellectual malpractice when we let our students graduate from the university these days without command of the basic Data Science tools as any of the professors of the late-mediæval university would have committed should they have allowed their students to graduate without command of a fine chancery hand…"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","text":"< "},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https://braddelong.substack.com/p/in-data-science-for-non-stem-majors","target":"_blank","rel":"nofollow ugc noopener","class":"note-link"}}],"text":"https://braddelong.substack.com/p/in-data-science-for-non-stem-majors"},{"type":"text","text":" >"}]},{"type":"paragraph","content":[{"type":"text","text":"2025-01-28 Tu"}]}]},"restacks":0,"reaction_count":4,"attachments":[{"id":"a94e0373-027c-4c83-a420-0d324f8a301d","type":"post","publication":{"apple_pay_disabled":false,"apex_domain":null,"author_id":16879,"byline_images_enabled":true,"bylines_enabled":true,"chartable_token":null,"community_enabled":true,"copyright":"J. 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