Gamble Up!

On Episode 28 of Gamble Up!, A Schwartz, David Baker, and Producer Ross break down the brutal Circa Survivor pool results and analyze key NFL Week 8 matchups. Get expert betting strategies, market dynamics analysis, and official picks for Week 8, including deep dives into Aaron Rodgers, the Seahawks, Broncos, and NFC North Divisional Rankings.

00:00 - NFL Week 8 Intro & Picks Recap

03:01 - Circa Survivor Bloodbath: NFL Week 8 Strategy

05:48 - Evaluating NFL Survivor Pool Performance & Pivots

08:57 - Poker vs. NFL Sports Betting: Finding Your Edge

11:55 - Coin Flips & Variance in NFL Betting Lines

14:59 - High-Stakes Contest Markets & Contest Equity

17:54 - Syndicate Strategies: Hedging & Portfolio Management

21:11 - Circa Millions & $100K Grandissimo Update

23:54 - NFL Week 8 Game Breakdown: Key Matchups

27:03 - Seattle Seahawks: NFC Contenders or Pretenders?

29:04 - Denver Broncos: Analyzing the 5-2 Turnaround

31:36 - Fantasy Football Alert: Sean Payton's Backfield Committee

36:15 - San Francisco 49ers Injury Crisis vs. Atlanta Falcons

38:17 - Minnesota Vikings: Fraudulent Unbeaten Streak?

40:13 - Ranking the NFC North: Bears, Lions, Packers, Vikings

43:22 - New York Giants: Luck vs. Legitimacy in NFC East

45:09 - Philadelphia Eagles: Season From Hell & Rebuild Outlook

46:48 - AFC North Standings: Browns, Steelers, Bengals, Ravens

49:10 - Aaron Rodgers & Pittsburgh Steelers Resurgence

51:05 - Caleb Williams & Chicago Bears Future Ceiling

53:07 - Analytics Debate: Dan Campbell Fourth-Down Play Call

56:05 - NFL Week 8 Betting Trends & Market Moves

01:00:04 - Official NFL Week 8 Best Bets & Lock Predictions

If you like the show, please follow/subscribe on https://www.patreon.com/cw/GambleUpPod and join the community! Donations go to growing the show and the support means a lot to us!

Tune in to **Gamble Up Episode 27** as hosts A Schwartz, David 'ODB' Baker and Roscoe P. (12-3) break down poker tournament strategy at Bay 101, NFL quarterback development, and high-stakes football contest updates. This episode explores the Circa Survivor carnage, the Grandissimo proxy failure controversy, the debate over analytics versus coaching feel on fourth downs, late-game clock management blunders, and official Week 7 NFL picks.

00:00 Opening banter and episode setup

00:42 Shooting Star bounty structure and how it changes poker strategy

03:08 Bay 101's return, tournament culture, and why the room matters

04:54 Broncos-Seahawks recap and early Bo Nix concerns

08:45 Scheme problems, aDOT criticism, and Denver's offensive limitations

12:19 Circumillions standings and whether to press leverage yet

14:24 Circa Survivor bloodbath and how the field got split up

18:35 Grandissimo proxy failure and why a no-pick is a major issue

25:18 Troy Aikman, analytics, and the limits of fourth-down models

27:59 Why selection bias skews football decision data

35:35 When underdogs should take variance, and when favorites can stay conservative

43:02 Steelers clock-management question at the goal line

49:49 Jaguars-Texans in London and another late-game decision critique

52:40 Rams collapse, NFC West context, and why the market still respects them

54:51 Weekly picks recap and the current records

58:22 Ross, David, and Adam make their Week 7 picks

Love listening to **Gamble Up**? Support the show on Patreon and buy Roscoe a cup of coffee! Join our community at: [https://www.patreon.com/cw/GambleUpPod](https://www.patreon.com/cw/GambleUpPod)

Tune into Gamble Up! #26 as Adam Schwartz, David "ODB" Baker, and Producer Ross break down the latest NFL action. Get expert sports betting insights covering Week 5 coaching blunders, the brutal Survivor contest bloodbath after the Cowboys' collapse, Circa Millions strategies, Bo Nix and the Broncos, power ranking contenders vs. pretenders, and official Week 6 picks.

00:00:00 — The Calm Before the Storm: NFL Week Anticipation & David's Trip to Denver

00:03:09 — Bo Nix Under the Microscope: Analyzing the Broncos Quarterback's Slump

00:06:06 — Fantasy Football Frustrations: Dealing with Underperforming Players

00:08:55 — Circa Millions Contest: First Quarter Success and Portfolio Strategies

00:12:11 — Survivor Pool Bloodbath: Cowboys Collapse Wipes Out Nearly Half the Field

00:15:08 — The State of NFL Coaching: Are Managers Getting Worse?

00:18:09 — Clock Management Nightmares: The Fine Lines Between Winning and Losing

00:20:53 — Quarterback Awareness: Fatal Late-Game Mental Blunders

00:22:31 — Looking Ahead to Week 6: Navigating Byes and Chalk Picks

00:28:40 — Survivor Marketplaces: Buying, Selling, and Hedging Entries

00:33:29 — Giants vs. Commanders Overtime Disaster: A Masterclass in Mismanagement

00:39:00 — Eagles vs. Jaguars in London: Sirianni's Questionable Clock Decisions

00:43:01 — More Questionable Decisions: Harbaugh and Payton Under Fire

00:45:01 — Power Rankings: Categorizing Contenders vs. Pretenders

00:48:55 — Evaluating the Vikings, Bears, and NFL Parity

00:56:55 — Lock Picks Performance & Patreon Community Shoutouts

00:58:45 — Week 6 Contest Showdown: Official Picks and Lock Selections

Support the show and keep Producer Ross fueled up on coffee for those late-night editing sessions! Join our Patreon community for exclusive content, behind-the-scenes updates, and direct support [https://www.patreon.com/cw/GambleUpPod]. Head over to our Patreon page to join today!

This week on Episode 25 of the Gamble Up! Podcast with Adam Schwartz and David "ODB" Baker, recorded right after a chaotic Week 4 of the 2026 NFL season.
The guys dive deep into high-stakes sports betting and contest strategy, covering the latest Circa Million leaderboard shakeups, Survivor pool game theory, and the booming Survivor Sweat marketplace.

Plus, we break down major Week 4 matchups: including the Patriots' upset over the Bills, the Lions' stumble against Carolina, and the Cowboys' Thursday night outlook, before locking in their sharp against-the-spread (ATS) picks for Week 5!

00:00 Intro & Week 4 NFL Takeaways

01:17 The Impact of Offensive Line & Defensive Injuries

08:35 Circa Million Contest & Quarter 1 Winner Update

13:55 Survivor Pool Strategies & Week 4 Review

19:55 Survivor Marketplace & Quantifying Future Value

27:00 Week 5 Thursday Night Preview: Cowboys vs. Buccaneers

38:00 Patriots Upset Bills (Drake Maye & Josh Allen Breakdown)

43:30 Panthers Defeat Lions (Bryce Young & Detroit's Defense)

45:29 Browns Beat Steelers & Deshaun Watson's Form

48:45 Ravens Win But Lose Lamar Jackson

49:32 Bears Dominant Win Over the Jets

51:30 Jaguars Top Bengals & Trevor Lawrence Discussion

54:10 Giants vs. Cardinals Turnover Fest

56:30 Coaching Decisions & Analytics Debate

59:26 Super Bowl Futures & Division Odds Market

1:07:41 MVP and Coach of the Year Markets

1:08:10 Patreon Shoutouts & Supporter Thanks

1:13:35 Week 5 Official ATS Picks (Adam, Ross, and David)

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**Support the Show & Join the Community!**

Love the sharp betting insights, Circa contest strategy, and weekly sweat? Help keep the lights on and support Producer Ross by joining our growing Patreon family! A huge thank you to our current members: Old Man Cawfee, Adam Schwartz, and Kells -3.5 for backing the show. https://www.patreon.com/cw/GambleUpPod

In Episode 24 of *Gamble Up*, Adam Schwartz and David "ODB" Baker analyze NFL Week 3 trends, coaching blunders, and Week 4 against-the-spread (ATS) contest picks. The team breaks down Circa Sports' official partnership with Survivor Sweat for secondary market equity trading, key game theory strategies in Circa Survivor and the $100k Grandissimo contest, and portfolio management in Circa Millions.

0:00 - Gamble Up Ep. 24 Overview & Early NFL Season Trends

04:15 - Circa Sports & Survivor Sweat Secondary Market Partnership

12:30 - Circa Survivor Week 3 Carnage & Portfolio Allocation Strategy

20:45 - $100k Grandissimo Contest Analysis & Game Theory Strategy

29:20 - Week 4 Survivor Strategy: Minnesota Vikings Chalk vs. Leverage Pivots

37:50 - NFL Recaps: Raiders 3-0 Cover Streak, Falcons Upset, Bills & Cowboys

52:10 - Game Recaps: Broncos Comeback, Bears, Patriots QB Benchings & 49ers

59:30 - Internal Host Standings & Circa Millions Portfolio Update

01:05:15 - Week 4 Predictions

01:13:50 - Picks & Previews

**Support the Show on Patreon! **

If you enjoy the podcast and want to support the team, check out our Patreon at [https://www.patreon.com/GambleUpPod](https://www.patreon.com/GambleUpPod)! Huge shoutout to early supporters like OldmanCawfee for stepping up to back the show! Every tier helps us keep delivering top-tier sports betting analysis and contest strategy.

Join Adam Schwartz, David Baker (@AuDavidb), and producer Ross on Episode 23 of the Gamble Up! Podcast as they break down NFL Week 2 reactions, Circa Survivor contest strategy, and NFL Week 3 best bets.

The crew dissects the massive 66% Survivor field attrition, explores the EV math behind multi-entry portfolios versus single-entry strategies, and breaks down key Week 3 decision points like whether to take the heavy Kansas City Chiefs chalk or pivot to contrarian spots. From Shane Steichen’s overtime misstep to Aaron Glenn’s clock management meltdown, they review game-changing coaching blunders, fantasy football injury impacts (including Caleb Williams and Jackson Dart), and reveal their top spread picks and Circa Millions consensus plays to help you make smarter betting decisions this football season.

PATREON: https://www.patreon.com/GambleUpPod

00:00 - Show doc banter and early coaching rants

01:02 - Episode intro and what the show will cover

02:41 - Survivor ownership: 49ers vs. Buccaneers

03:16 - Why single-entry and multi-entry players approach Survivor differently

06:40 - Are multi-entry Survivor decisions actually minus EV?

10:02 - Aftermarkets, buying entries, and how contest markets work

11:47 - Saturday Night Sweat and reading the Survivor community

14:18 - Early Survivor attrition and why the field is already crushed

17:37 - Holiday weeks, double-pick weeks, and future consolidation spots

18:03 - How to think about future value in teams like Detroit

20:39 - Using bad teams as live dogs in the right spot

22:16 - Why the Chiefs are likely to be heavily owned this week

24:09 - Managing risk with uncomfortable Survivor plays

26:07 - Circa Millions standings and the best and worst cards

28:19 - Bills-Lions recap and Detroit’s offensive outlook

30:16 - Falcons-Panthers and the Michael Penix discussion

32:36 - Saints stun the Ravens and Tyler Shough’s early profile

35:10 - Caleb Williams injury and the Bears’ quarterback situation

37:30 - Bengals-Texans and why both teams still look legitimate

40:47 - Aaron Glenn’s clock management mistake vs. the Packers

45:15 - Eagles-Titans and a fantasy saving Jalen Hurts stack

45:40 - Broncos-Jaguars and Bo Nix’s second-half response

47:27 - Raiders-Chargers: are the Raiders good or are the Chargers broken?

50:20 - Kirk Cousins’ career earnings and fantasy quarterback talk

51:41 - Seahawks-Cardinals and JSN’s ascent

54:23 - Cowboys-Commanders and Washington’s missed opportunities

55:24 - Chiefs-Colts overtime coaching decisions

59:23 - Rams-Giants, Jackson Dart’s season-ending injury, and Jameis Winston

1:00:22 - Broncos futures and why waiting may be better than buying now

1:02:27 - Supporting the show and Ross’s free production work

1:05:25 - Week 2 pick contest results

1:07:43 - This week’s contest picks from Adam, David, and Ross

1:13:29 - Claude’s picks and closing thoughts

1:14:15 - Weekend plans, golf, and the President’s Cup

1:14:49 - Wrap-up and sign-off

Gamble Up Episode 22 breaks down 'ODB' David Baker’s Survivor strategy, including ownership projections, leverage, future value, contest selection, and the differences between Circa Survivor and Splash Survivor. Adam Schwartz, Ross, and David also recap the biggest Week 1 NFL takeaways, debate contest ethics and syndicates, evaluate Circa Millions, reveal their Super Bowl predictions, and make their Week 2 picks.

00:00 – Gamble Up Returns: Football Season Is Back

02:06 – David Baker on NFL Obsession, Content, and Social Media Chaos

06:12 – How David Builds Survivor Entries Without AI

08:19 – Why Jacksonville Was the Safer Survivor Play

10:21 – Survivor Strategy: Take Stands, Don’t Copy the Field

12:45 – Jacksonville at 50% vs. Chargers at 15% Ownership

13:15 – The Future Value Edge: Saving Teams for Later

14:10 – Why the Jets Entry Became David’s Most Valuable

15:06 – How to Protect a High-Value Survivor Entry

16:37 – Circa Survivor vs. Splash Survivor: The Key Differences

18:29 – Holiday Weeks, Double Picks, and Preserving Flexibility

22:30 – How Ownership Projections Create a Major Edge

23:54 – Why Contest Size Changes Field Behavior

26:52 – Survivor Ethics: Entry Caps, Teams, and Syndicates

29:50 – The Gray Areas Every Survivor Contest Is Still Solving

34:34 – Why Circa Millions Stayed Flat Despite Survivor’s Growth

37:50 – The Week 1 Millions Portfolio: Big Wins and Brutal Misses

41:31 – Why David Passed on the $100K Grandissimo

42:56 – Seahawks vs. Patriots: Seattle’s Defense Makes a Statement

46:46 – 49ers vs. Rams in Australia: Genius Strategy or Weird Travel?

52:43 – Steelers vs. Falcons: Don’t Overreact to One Game

53:58 – Ravens Roll, Bears Explode, and Two NFC Contenders Emerge

55:06 – Why David Is Still All-In on the Bears

58:18 – The Packers’ Three Structural Problems

59:37 – Jaguars Cruise While the Bengals Keep Rolling

60:27 – Jets Impress as Tennessee Becomes a Prime Fade

61:38 – Lions-Saints Overtime: The Case for Going for Two

64:32 – Bills vs. Texans: Two Teams Still Built to Contend

66:59 – Eagles Need More Proof After Beating Washington

68:25 – Giants Shock Dallas: Was It Preparation or a Real Problem?

70:08 – Broncos-Chiefs Fallout: Sean Payton Needs to Pick a Lane

75:32 – Super Bowl Predictions: Rams, Steelers, Bears, Ravens, and Broncos

78:18 – Where the Super Bowl Betting Value Could Be Later

80:23 – The Weekly Picks Contest Begins

81:35 – David Baker’s Three Week 2 Picks

84:41 – Survivor Loser Picks and the Final Debate

Greg “FBT” Mueller joins Gamble Up! for Episode 21 to share stories from his journey through poker. From Vancouver’s early 90's poker scene to unforgettable WSOP final tables and a massive $3.75 million run. Greg discusses poker mindset, mentorship, friendship, pressure, key hands, coaching, and the lessons that have shaped his decades in the game.

00:00 Greg “FBT” Mueller: From Hockey Pro to Poker Legend

00:30 Pre-Show Banter, Poker Talk & the Gamble Up! Theme

01:02 Greg “FBT” Mueller Joins the Gamble Up! Podcast

02:35 From the WSOP Main Event to the Smithers Golf Tournament

03:41 Vancouver Poker’s Legendary Limit Game Era

08:25 From Pro Hockey to Poker, Golf & a Late-Blooming Career

10:37 David Baker, Poker Friendships & Early Main Event Memories

16:11 The Toughest Matchup: Playing Heads-Up Against Friends

19:28 Why the WSOP Main Event Final Table Feels Bigger Than a Bracelet

27:42 Bucky’s Tough Love & the Power of a Great Poker Rail

32:50 Recommitting to Tournament Poker & Making a Main Event Run

39:19 Scotty “Tickets” Stories & Legendary WSOP Rail Energy

45:10 Key Hands That Built Confidence During the Main Event

50:11 The Final Table Exit Hand: Playing for $3.75 Million

56:50 ICM Pressure, Massive Pay Jumps & Final Table Survival

1:02:35 Breaking Down the Heads-Up Hand That Decided Millions

1:09:55 Final Table Coaching & Preparing for Elite Competition

1:13:22 Final Table Now or a Longer Break? The Tough Decision

1:15:05 How a $3.75M Score Changes Your Life

1:17:59 Closing Thoughts, Poker Friendship & Another Deep Run

We're BACK with new Gamble Up! - ODB, Adam, and Ross recap the biggest moments from WSOP 2026, diving into standout results, key hands, tournament strategy, and the stories shaping this year’s World Series of Poker. They also break down the $25K WSOP Fantasy discussion, player results sharing, bracelet races, early registration strategy, and what the biggest trends from the summer say about the future of poker.

From huge-field adjustments to fantasy league angles, bracelet chases, and rising international talent, this episode is packed with WSOP analysis, poker news, and pro-level takeaways for players and fans. Subscribe for more WSOP recap coverage, poker strategy, fantasy discussion, and Gamble Up! episodes.

• 00:00 Introduction and ODB Results Tease

• 01:20 World Series of Poker 2026 :RECAP

• 04:38 Strategies for large-field fantasy tournaments

• 09:15 Playing poker against WSOP Competition

• 13:57 Notable Bracelet WINS and Achievements

• 20:07 Who will be the first to 20 bracelets?

• 24:38 The Foxens’ summer success and top stories of the year.

• 32:46 WSOP Fantasy Insights

• 34:55 Future plans and community involvement.

SUPER BOWL PICKS & PROPS!

00:00 Introduction and PGT Update

04:56 Bubble Dynamics in Poker Tournaments

09:37 Mixed Games vs. No Limit Poker

14:40 Hall of Fame Politics in Sports

19:43 Conference Championship Games Analysis

29:33 The Complexity of Game Outcomes

31:54 Coaching Decisions and Game Dynamics

34:11 Weather's Impact on Game Performance

36:37 Betting Strategies and Game Predictions

39:38 Analyzing the Seahawks vs. Rams Matchup

48:36 Super Bowl Predictions and Prop Bets

54:25 Celebrity Fans and Their Allegiances

57:38 Game Predictions and Prop Bets

01:00:17 Analyzing Player Performances and Strategies

01:05:29 Poker Insights and Preparation Techniques

01:09:15 NFL Awards and Cultural Commentary

In this week’s episode, hosts Adam Schwartz and David “ODB” Baker break down the latest headlines in both poker and the NFL — including updates from the PokerGO Tour (PGT), key tournament strategies, and the biggest stories shaking up the NFL Hall of Fame voting controversy.

The guys go deep on the AFC and NFC Championship games, preview the Super Bowl matchup, and tackle listener questions about poker theory, bankroll management, and sharp betting angles heading into the big game.

🎯 Whether you’re grinding poker tournaments or eyeing those Super Bowl prop bets, this episode is packed with insight, laughs, and inside knowledge only seasoned pros can deliver.

👉 Subscribe for weekly episodes on poker, sports betting, and behind-the-scenes stories from the world of high-stakes action.

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