Guests - Seth Keshel, Joel Strabala, Jay Tolkoff

Seth Keshel breaks down the midterm map with data instead of doom, arguing Arizona's two competitive congressional seats and LD17's legislative races are winnable if Republicans avoid the ballot-splitting mistakes of past cycles. Joel Strabala explains why poll observers and early ballot returns matter more than most voters realize. And Jay Tolkoff digs into Tucson's budget sleight-of-hand — a "balanced budget" that's actually draining $61 million from reserves — plus TUSD's staggering staff-to-student ratio and a critical write-in campaign for a Pima County supervisor seat that hinges on just 146 signatures.