Fire danger across the United States is elevated this spring, with recent forecasts from AccuWeather and the National Interagency Fire Center predicting that between seven and nine million acres could burn nationwide in 2025. This would be above the historical average, driven by a combination of abnormally dry conditions, lingering drought, and periods of unseasonably warm weather. According to AccuWeather, roughly half of the country is experiencing drought or unusually dry weather, with about nine percent facing extreme to exceptional drought. These conditions are especially acute along the Eastern Seaboard, stretching as far south as parts of Florida, as well as across the southern Plains and interior Southwest. The forecast warns that the combination of dry, windy, and low-humidity days will increase the number of high-risk fire days this spring.
Recent fire activity underscores these warnings. In New Jersey, a wildfire in Ocean County forced the evacuation of more than five thousand residents and threatened over thirteen hundred structures, making it the largest in the state in nearly two decades, reports Energy Connects. North Carolina has also seen multiple significant blazes, including the Bee Rock Creek Fire in McDowell County and the Haoe Lead Fire in Graham County. These fires have burned thousands of acres, and although the Haoe Lead Fire is now contained and no evacuations were needed, the overall fire risk in the region remains high due to the accumulation of dead trees from past hurricanes, which provide ample fuel for wildfires.
Florida is another hotspot, where several large fires have burned through Volusia, Liberty, and Wakulla counties since late March. In the Midwest and northern Plains, wildfires have erupted in North Dakota, Minnesota, and Nebraska. The Plum Creek Fire in Nebraska notably started as a prescribed burn but quickly escaped control due to high winds, burning over seven thousand acres.
While increased precipitation across the Midwest and parts of the West Coast may temporarily reduce fire danger in those areas, the overall pattern remains concerning. The total number of wildfires and acres burned through March 2025 is already well above the ten-year average, according to the National Interagency Fire Center’s April outlook. Although late spring rains could ease fire risks in parts of the Midwest, forecasters caution that the threat may escalate again by summer, especially as vegetation growth from spring snowmelt dries out.
Internationally, while no major events have been reported in the past week, the United States’ patterns reflect a broader global trend of increasing fire danger tied to climate variability, drought, and fuel buildup. Experts warn that the convergence of dry landscapes, higher temperatures, and shifting weather patterns is creating conditions for more frequent and intense wildfires both in the US and worldwide.