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The housing headlines have been shouting “slowdown” for months, but the newest housing data tells a much more encouraging story. I’m Sean, and I walk through a simple, surprising fact: housing demand is positive in every single major region of the country right now. Not one standout metro carrying the numbers, not a couple of sunny pockets, but broad year over year growth in pending home sales even while mortgage rates sit around 6.5%.
We dig into why the doom-and-gloom predictions missed what buyers were actually doing. Pending sales came in meaningfully higher than the same week last year, and purchase applications have stayed positive year over year nearly every week. That’s “quietly resilient” demand, and it matters because it suggests the market is functioning under stress rather than waiting for perfect conditions.
Then we get into the part most people overlook: affordability can improve even when rates don’t. When wages outpace home price growth, the foundation under the housing market gets healthier in a way that tends to last. From there, I connect the dots to real estate lending and investing, including what broad based demand means for fix and flip exits, secured lending funds, collateral performance, and risk across regions. And if rates drift down as global conditions stabilize, this already positive demand could pick up speed.
If you found this useful, subscribe, share the show with a friend who follows real estate, and leave a review so more people can find Rock Solid Conversations.
By Eric ZwigartSend us a text to chat now!
The housing headlines have been shouting “slowdown” for months, but the newest housing data tells a much more encouraging story. I’m Sean, and I walk through a simple, surprising fact: housing demand is positive in every single major region of the country right now. Not one standout metro carrying the numbers, not a couple of sunny pockets, but broad year over year growth in pending home sales even while mortgage rates sit around 6.5%.
We dig into why the doom-and-gloom predictions missed what buyers were actually doing. Pending sales came in meaningfully higher than the same week last year, and purchase applications have stayed positive year over year nearly every week. That’s “quietly resilient” demand, and it matters because it suggests the market is functioning under stress rather than waiting for perfect conditions.
Then we get into the part most people overlook: affordability can improve even when rates don’t. When wages outpace home price growth, the foundation under the housing market gets healthier in a way that tends to last. From there, I connect the dots to real estate lending and investing, including what broad based demand means for fix and flip exits, secured lending funds, collateral performance, and risk across regions. And if rates drift down as global conditions stabilize, this already positive demand could pick up speed.
If you found this useful, subscribe, share the show with a friend who follows real estate, and leave a review so more people can find Rock Solid Conversations.