If an AGI falls in the woods and nobody can define it, did it actually fall? This week we make an exact prediction of when AGI will happen, and the 10 ways it will immediately change the world. 

SHOW: 986

SHOW TRANSCRIPT: The Cloudcast #986 Transcript

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SHOW NOTES

• Planning for AGI and Beyond (OpenAI) 
• Machines of Loving Grace (Anthropic)
• Microsoft and Google has different visions/opinions on AGI
• Amazon reorganizes around new AGI team reporting to Andy Jassy
• Mistral CEO says that AGI is a marketing move 
• AGI is defined by an independent committee in new Microsoft and OpenAI agreement
• Why does being first to AGI matter?
• Bret Taylor on the current status of AGI (Acquired/AC2 podcast, 2025)

WHAT DOES REACHING AGI PROVIDE FOR HUMANITY (or ANYTHING)?

• Y2K bug, 2038 Bug (techies are good at dates when things need to be patched)
• The % of people with Internet access
• The % of people with a smartphone
• The % of people with a certain level of education (basic or advanced)
• How much smarter is humanity than 10yrs ago? 20yrs ago? 
• How much smarter could existing humanity be at any given time? 
• Nobody has a consistent or measurable definition of AGI
• What are the Top 10 problems of humanity that need to be solved? (direct or indirect)
• Does reaching AGI enable certain government or corporate actions to start happening that couldn’t happen now? 

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