Data Science Tech Brief By HackerNoon

How Bayesian Tail-Risk Modeling can save your Retail Business Marketing Budget


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This story was originally published on HackerNoon at: https://hackernoon.com/how-bayesian-tail-risk-modeling-can-save-your-retail-business-marketing-budget.


Why average ROI fails. Learn how distributional and tail-risk modeling protects marketing campaigns from catastrophic losses using Bayesian methods.
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E-commerce marketing is often represented in terms of Return on Investment (ROI) But looking specifically at average ROI can be very misleading. Marketing outcomes can have "fat tails": rare but extreme events on the downside which conventional models' underestimate.

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