In The Money: eCommerce, DTC, and CPG

How Better Forecasting Became Branch's Best Funding Round


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Branch almost died in March 2020. A $4M B2B pipeline collapsed to $30K in ten days, and the company had to reinvent itself overnight.

In this episode, Greg Hayes, co-founder of Branch, walks through one of the most consequential pivots in modern consumer: going from B2B office furniture to DTC at the height of COVID, and then rebuilding the company again into a multi-channel, profitable, capital-efficient business.

This is a rare, deeply tactical conversation about what it actually takes to scale an asset-heavy consumer brand without blowing up the balance sheet.

We cover:

  • The near-death pivot from B2B to DTC, and why speed mattered more than perfection

  • How COVID supply chain chaos forced real product quality discipline

  • Channel strategy across DTC, B2B, Amazon, and wholesale (West Elm)

  • Why product line expansion + channel expansion unlocked continued growth

  • The hidden economics of furniture: tooling, MOQs, inventory, damage rates

  • How Branch improved gross margins by ~35% in two years

  • Engineering products into margin instead of being a price taker

  • Bundling, AOV expansion, and making furniture an LTV business

  • Why capital efficiency beat raising $30–50M in growth capital

  • How VC expectations for physical product companies have changed since 2021

  • Why diversification across products and channels reduces existential risk

This is not a growth-hack episode. It’s a blueprint for building a real, durable consumer business in a hard category.

If you’re a founder, operator, or investor navigating capital-intensive consumer, this episode is required listening.

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In The Money: eCommerce, DTC, and CPGBy In The Money: eCommerce, DTC, and CPG