Facts Over Fear

ICE Is Causing Economic Fallout


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Recently, Colorado State Treasurer Dave Young joined 14 other state fiscal officers in sending a letter to the Trump administration, warning that large-scale immigration enforcement sweeps are destabilizing state and local economies.These aren’t cable news commentators or partisan activists. They are officials responsible for tracking billions of public dollars, monitoring tax collections, revenue forecasts, pension systems, bond ratings, and economic stability in real time.Restaurants closing mid-shift. Construction sites stalled. Farms and food processors unable to operate. What began as anecdotal reporting has evolved into something more measurable. Workforce disruptions are now showing up in state revenue data. When a significant portion of workers disappear — even temporarily — the economic shock travels quickly through supply chains, small businesses, and public budgets.State fiscal officers don’t typically wade into federal policy debates. Their job is to maintain stability, safeguard taxpayer dollars, and ensure long-term fiscal health. But when labor disruptions hit major sectors like agriculture, construction, hospitality, and food processing, the consequences extend far beyond individual businesses.They affect: Sales tax revenueIncome tax collectionsLocal government budgetsPublic service fundingLong-term economic forecastsWhen projects pause or businesses close unexpectedly, tax revenue slows. When revenue slows, states face difficult choices about funding schools, healthcare systems, infrastructure, and emergency services.The warning from these officials is clear: enforcement actions have economic consequences that ripple outward, affecting communities regardless of political affiliation.What Happens When Part of a Workforce Disappears Overnight? Labor markets are interconnected systems. Remove a segment of workers abruptly, and the impact compounds:Supply chains tighten. Prices rise. Small businesses struggle with staffing. Construction delays push back housing and infrastructure projects. Rural economies reliant on agriculture feel immediate strain. Even individuals who are not directly impacted by enforcement may feel the secondary effects: higher costs, delayed services, reduced local investment.The question fiscal officers are raising is not whether immigration law should be enforced. The question is: What are the measurable economic consequences when enforcement is carried out at scale and who absorbs those costs?For state officials tasked with balancing budgets, the concern is practical: are these disruptions short-term shocks, or early indicators of long-term structural damage? Are states being left to absorb economic fallout without federal coordination? What happens to public services if revenue projections begin to shift downward?Because when workforce instability spreads across key industries, it doesn’t stay contained. It shows up in classrooms. In hospitals. In infrastructure projects. In the everyday services communities rely on.And that makes this story about more than immigration policy.It’s about economic stability — and who bears the cost when that stability is disrupted.FOLLOW NATALIEsubstack: https://substack.com/@factsoverfearnataliebinstagram: https://www.instagram.com/@nataliebencivenga/#tiktok: https://www.tiktok.com/@nataliebencivengathreads: https://www.threads.com/@nataliebencivengapodcast via spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/47JYsn9LQchErS3cnHP2YFpodcast via apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/facts-over-fear/id1855901950ABOUT NATALIENatalie Bencivenga is a socially-conscious journalist working towards building equity in our communities through storytelling. Her goal is to inspire, educate and activate people to become catalysts for positive change. Join her for transformative conversations that uplift and challenge the ways in which we perceive the world. Let's turn this moment into a movement – together.

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Facts Over FearBy Natalie Bencivenga