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Influence through Absence in U.S. Counterinsurgency Interventions? Coercing Local Allies through Threats to Withdraw - Dr Barbara Elias
Please subscribe to your preferred podcast platform; we are available on Apple, Google, Spotify and 6 others. https://anchor.fm/wisdom-iyekekpolo
Also subscribe and comment on our Youtube channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCiBmLNnt0FcYeLFg9_E9z4w
Contact: [email protected]
ABSTRACT
In counterinsurgency, U.S. officials often feel trapped by a local ally who appears unable to survive the departure of U.S. forces. Advocates for withdrawal argue that only a deadline to depart will induce local governments to accept greater burdens, while critics of this position argue that plans to withdraw embolden insurgents. We argue instead that American leaders gain leverage from U.S. public opinion favouring withdrawal. Analysis of 200+ U.S. demands of local allied governments in Vietnam and Iraq suggests that public pressure for withdrawal is associated with greater local compliance, but that formal U.S. withdrawal plans does not motivate compliance. - Dr Barbara Elias
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By Wisdom IyekekpoloPlease subscribe to your preferred podcast platform; we are available on Apple, Google, Spotify and 6 others. https://anchor.fm/wisdom-iyekekpolo
Also subscribe and comment on our Youtube channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCiBmLNnt0FcYeLFg9_E9z4w
Contact: [email protected]
ABSTRACT
In counterinsurgency, U.S. officials often feel trapped by a local ally who appears unable to survive the departure of U.S. forces. Advocates for withdrawal argue that only a deadline to depart will induce local governments to accept greater burdens, while critics of this position argue that plans to withdraw embolden insurgents. We argue instead that American leaders gain leverage from U.S. public opinion favouring withdrawal. Analysis of 200+ U.S. demands of local allied governments in Vietnam and Iraq suggests that public pressure for withdrawal is associated with greater local compliance, but that formal U.S. withdrawal plans does not motivate compliance. - Dr Barbara Elias