The IR thinker

Inside Myanmar’s Fragile Geopolitical Position — Wai Yan Phyo Naing


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Myanmar occupies a unique position in contemporary international affairs, where the legacies of post-independence neutralism, decades of military rule, and a fractured post-coup order converge to produce one of the most complex foreign policy environments in the Indo-Pacific.


Dr Naing is a visiting scholar at the Institute of Modern History, Academia Sinica, under the Taiwan Fellowship Program. At the moment, he is focusing on modern Myanmar’s domestic politics, democratisation, and international relations, with particular attention to Myanmar–Russia and Myanmar–China relations and their implications for regional security, political development, and social change.


In this role, he conducts independent and collaborative research drawing on archival materials, historical documents, and qualitative sources. His current project, “Insights from Taiwan’s Democratisation: Implications for Upcoming Reform Processes in Myanmar,” examines how Taiwan’s experience of democratisation can inform prospective political reforms in Myanmar.


Publications:

Northern Myanmar Poses a Challenge to China’s Critical Minerals Strategy

The Dilemma of Sino-Myanmar Relations: The Case of Myitsone Hydropower Dam Project


Content

00:00 – Introduction

02:19 – Neutralism, Military Isolation, and the Origins of Myanmar’s Strategic Hedging

09:16 – Structural Drivers of the Contemporary Myanmar Political Crisis

16:53 – The Influence of China and India on Myanmar’s Foreign Policy Orientation

26:00 – The National Unity Government and the Fragmentation of Political Authority

33:12 – Border Governance, Insurgency, and Security Dynamics in Myanmar’s Frontier Regions

48:43 – Russia’s Role in Myanmar’s Strategic and Military Relations

01:00:35 – ASEAN’s Five-Point Consensus and the Limits of the Non-Interference Principle


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The IR thinkerBy Martin Zubko