Nate Silver (@natesilver538) is widely considered the world's top political forecaster. We chat about 2020 presidential election odds for more than forty-five minutes, covering Trump odds of every stripe (impeachment, ratification of impeachment, term completion, re-election), and we consider the election probabilities of the leading Democratic candidates. In the last half of the interview, we cover the new 538 NBA projection model (RAPTOR) and we chat about Nate's renewed interest in poker analytics.