Ian Collins examines what happens next after US and Israeli strikes on Iran, asking whether this is the beginning of regime collapse or the start of a prolonged regional conflict.

Security and intelligence expert Professor Anthony Glees warns Britain is “in a very weak place”, arguing the UK has alienated Washington, angered Tehran and offered mixed signals over the use of RAF Fairford and Diego Garcia. He cautions that removing senior Iranian figures will not automatically end the threat, describing Shia Islamism as a wider ideological movement that cannot be defeated with a single strike. Glees fears the conflict could become a “forever war”, with major consequences for oil prices, economic stability and UK security, particularly after a reported drone incident at RAF Akrotiri in Cyprus.

In stark contrast, UK-based anti-regime Iranian journalist Niyak Ghorbani insists the Islamic Republic’s core support is minimal, claiming only a small percentage of Iranians back the regime. He says many inside Iran are celebrating the strikes and looking to Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi as a potential unifying figure for democratic transition. According to Ghorbani, ordinary Iranians see US and Israeli action as a chance to end decades of repression rather than the start of another Iraq-style disaster.

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