Iran's new Supreme Leader hasn't been seen in public in two months, his own president had to go on state TV just to confirm he's alive, and right now the U.S. is negotiating the end of an active war with him through two separate middlemen carrying a single one-page document with the dollar amounts still blank. The military operation meant to force open the Strait of Hormuz collapsed in 48 hours after Saudi Arabia quietly told Washington it wasn't allowed to use their bases, and only two American ships made it through. So the ceasefire is being shot at, the deal isn't signed, and nobody actually knows if the man whose signature would end this war is in any condition to hold one together.