<p>In this episode I argue that we need clear terminology for thinking about the future. I use McAfee & Brynjolfsson's Machine, Platform, Crowd to tease out the difference between prediction and thinking about the future. Clarifying our terms could actually help (which I will attempt in a future episode).</p>

In this episode I argue that we need clear terminology for thinking about the future. I use McAfee & Brynjolfsson's Machine, Platform, Crowd to tease out the difference between prediction and thinking about the future. Clarifying our terms could actually help (which I will attempt in a future episode).

<p>In this episode I argue that we need clear terminology for thinking about the future. I use McAfee &amp; Brynjolfsson's Machine, Platform, Crowd to tease out the difference between prediction and thinking about the future. Clarifying our terms could actually help (which I will attempt in a future episode).</p>

Is prediction the same as thinking about the future?

Thinking about the future is not the same as trying to predict. Predicting is very difficult indeed. But even when predicting incorrectly, there is some value in the exercise. What is it? Foresight, reduction of anxiety, pleasure?This experiment tries (very hard) to predict the future correctly in 3 incremental steps: 2023, 2026, and 2030 (probably 30 8-minute episodes in all). It does so by weaving many different strands of life together - because when we look at history, this is how history has always progressed.But the object of interest is not primarily in the vision of 2030, it is in the side effects of arriving at it.By Arne Hessenbruch, Lecturer at MIT.https://www.linkedin.com/in/arnehessenbruch/

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Is prediction the same as thinking about the future?

Is prediction the same as thinking about the future?