ISW now confirms that Ukraine is actively disrupting Russia’s spring offensive before it can fully develop. In this breakdown, we look at the surge in Ukrainian drone strikes targeting industrial facilities, logistics hubs, and air defenses, along with the rise of mid-range strike capabilities that are shifting the battlefield. We also analyze Russian losses, operational tempo, and what military bloggers inside Russia are now admitting. The key question: is this just friction—or the beginning of a failed offensive? ⏱️ Chapters 0:00 ISW confirms Russia’s offensive is faltering 0:20 Ukrainian drone strikes hit key industry 0:54 Achilles 429th unit shows new capabilities 1:19 Ukraine’s expanding mid-range drone power 2:07 Targeting Russian air defense and logistics 2:45 Shift toward FPV and mid-strike drones 3:33 The economics of drone warfare 4:40 Mapping Ukraine’s strike patterns 5:17 Hits on Russian nitrogen facilities 5:40 Russia’s drone activity and defenses 6:13 Mounting Russian losses in detail 7:05 Real-time casualty and equipment trends 8:10 Measuring the offensive’s intensity 8:55 ISW: Ukraine disrupting offensive prep 9:30 Defense holds on the Lyman axis 10:11 Phoenix Regiment and Achilles impact 11:00 Russian milbloggers admit heavy losses 11:39 SBU arrests suspected infiltrator 12:03 Electronic warfare training expands 12:53 Kyiv battle anniversary context #Ukraine #Russia #ISW #UkraineWar #Geopolitics #Drones #MilitaryAnalysis #WarUpdate Facts over noise. Context over headlines. Truth over talking points. ***** To support me as as I provide Ukraine war context: ***** Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/ProfessorGerdesExplains Buy Me A Coffee: https://buymeacoffee.com/professorgerdes Paypal: https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/professorgerdes YouTube Channel Membership: https://www.youtube.com/@Professor-Gerdes/membership 🇺🇸 Contact the White House to express your support for Ukraine https://www.whitehouse.gov/contact/ *****IF YOU WISH TO PROVIDE DIRECT AID TO UKRAINE: ***** 🇺🇦 I have partnered with Greg Terry for all donations to Ukraine. He has raised and delivered more than a quarter of a million dollars of aid to date. To directly support this effort of delivering necessary provisions to the front lines, click on these links (and then watch him give your donations to soldiers on the front lines on his channel): https://www.youtube.com/@GregTerryExperience Amazon Shopping List USA/North America (Shop and send to UKRAINE AID c/o Bethel Life's Gift Registry Address) https://a.co/iodWsUK Amazon Shopping List for EU/UK https://www.amazon.de/hz/wishlist/ls/... Direct Link for Financial Giving via our 501(c)(3) Tax-Deductible in the USA https://www.gregterry.org/donate.html Link for Greg's 501(c)(3) EIN Information https://www.gregterry.org/donate.html 🇺🇸 Alternatively, you may choose to donate to Samaritan’s Purse: https://www.samaritanspurse.org/our-ministry/ukraine-response/?utm_source=FY22UkraineResponseVanityURL&utm_medium=direct&utm_campaign=m_YUKR-22L3&utm_content=Ukraine-Response-Redirect%20%20 🇺🇦 If you wish to support the Ukrainian Army, give directly to United 24. Follow this link: https://u24.gov.ua/ ***BUY SOMETHING TO SHOW YOUR SUPPORT FOR UKRAINE *** 🇺🇦 If you purchase from Saint Javelin with my link below, a cut of the proceeds will go directly to humanitarian aid for soldiers (bandages, tourniquets, etc.). I don't get the revenue. It goes to buy medical supplies from UnitewithUkraine.com. Use this link: https://www.saintjavelin.com/en-us?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Gerdes 🇺🇸 This is the absolute CHEAPEST THING YOU CAN DO to support Ukraine (This is NOT MY SITE) https://amzn.to/4aPtwQr - Just support the war effort somehow. 🇺🇦 I wrote a book about Ukraine's president Zelenskyy which I have updated for the first 4-5 months of the war in Ukraine: It is free if you have Amazon Kindle Unlimited or $9.99 otherwise: https://amzn.to/3Q2wnyE 🇺🇦 If you cannot give or buy, you can like, share, and pray for the people of Ukraine. 🇺🇸 Please leave comments and tell me how I can help you gain more perspective. You can contact me @Dr_Gerdes on Twitter or email [email protected] #UKRAINE #UKRAINERUSSIAWAR #UKRAINEWAR