最新技術を楽しく学ぼうテスラジオ(TESRADIO)

結局AGIっていつできるの?専門家の予測をまとめてみた


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AI界の最前線で活躍する4人の巨頭:アルトマン、ハサビス、ルカン、アモデイが予測するAGI(汎用人工知能)の到来時期と影響を徹底解説。あなたの未来への備えは十分ですか?


00:00 オープニング:衝撃のAGI予測

02:57 AGIとは何か?基本解説

03:43 なぜAGIの予測が重要なのか

06:14 サム・アルトマン(OpenAI)の超楽観予測

10:11 デミス・ハサビス(DeepMind)の慎重な楽観論

13:17 クイズ:現在のAIに足りない能力は?

15:55 ヤン・ルカン(Meta)の懐疑的見解

18:50 ダリオ・アモデイ(Anthropic)の実務エンジニア的見解

25:58 まとめ:専門家の見解比較


Sam Altman: "We Know How to Build AGI by 2025" - YouTube

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cz6cuGKR_Jo


How OpenAI's Sam Altman Is Thinking About AGI and Superintelligence in 2025 - TIME

https://time.com/7205596/sam-altman-superintelligence-agi/


OpenAI chief Sam Altman: 'This is genius-level intelligence' - Financial Times

https://www.ft.com/content/a3d65804-1cf3-4d67-ac79-9b78a10b6dcc


Sam Altman's Predictions for How the World Will Change Due to AI - Business Insider

https://www.businessinsider.com/openai-sam-altman-predictions-how-ai-could-change-the-world-2025-1


Demis Hassabis Is Preparing for AI's Endgame - TIME

https://time.com/7277608/demis-hassabis-interview-time100-2025/


Google DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis on AGI and AI in the Military - TIME

https://time.com/7280740/demis-hassabis-interview/


Google DeepMind CEO tells students to brace for change - Business Insider

https://www.businessinsider.com/google-deepmind-ceo-advice-college-students-ai-change-2025-5


Google DeepMind on what's next for Gemini, AGI, self-awareness - 9to5Google

https://9to5google.com/2025/04/21/demis-hassabis-gemini-next/

9to5Google


Yann LeCun(Meta Chief AI Scientist)

Meta’s AI Chief Yann LeCun on AGI, Open-Source, and AI Risk - TIME

https://time.com/6694432/yann-lecun-meta-ai-interview/


Interview with Yann LeCun (Oct. 12th, 2024) - Reddit

https://www.reddit.com/r/mlscaling/comments/1g34vgl/interview_with_yann_lecun_oct_12th_2024/


Yann LeCun's Predictions of AGI, LLaMA 3, Woke AI, Robots.. - Meta-Quantum

https://meta-quantum.today/?p=2711


Kara Swisher and Meta's Yann LeCun Interview - YouTube

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UmxlgLEscBs


Dario Amodei(Anthropic CEO)

Transcript for Dario Amodei: Anthropic CEO on Claude, AGI & the Future - Lex Fridman Podcast

https://lexfridman.com/dario-amodei-transcript/


Anthropic's CEO Just Predicted AGI by 2026: Could He Be Right? - YouTube

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=13WkoB8RcJY


Anthropic chief: 'By next year, AI could be smarter than all humans' - The Times

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/anthropic-chief-by-next-year-ai-could-be-smarter-than-all-humans-crslqn90n


Anthropic chief says AI could surpass “almost all humans at almost everything” shortly after 2027 - Ars Technica

https://arstechnica.com/ai/2025/01/anthropic-chief-says-ai-could-surpass-almost-all-humans-at-almost-everything-shortly-after-2027/

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