Nima Rostami Alkhorshid:
- What triggered the recent ceasefire between Iran and Israel after 12 days of conflict?
- How do you assess Iran’s decision to halt hostilities, especially in light of regional and international reactions?
- Can we expect a lasting ceasefire, or is this merely a temporary pause in ongoing tensions?
- What strategic advantages did Iran gain from its military actions against Israel and U.S. bases?
- How might these developments influence the broader regional balance of power and Arab states' positions?
Leith Marouf:
- The ceasefire came after Iran inflicted significant damage on Israel and the U.S. realized it couldn’t defeat Iran without risking nuclear escalation.
- Iran’s decision was strategic—to avoid triggering a nuclear response while continuing to weaken Israel economically and psychologically over time.
- There is no formal ceasefire; hostilities have paused temporarily but will likely continue for at least another year.
- Iran demonstrated its military capability, damaged Israel’s infrastructure, and exposed U.S. vulnerability, forcing a shift in Western calculations.
- Arab regimes remain subservient to the West and Israel, but they may be pressured to distance themselves as Israel weakens and global opposition grows.
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