The Luxury of Virtue

Lesson 1.8: The Ace of Spades


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If we can’t prove whether God exists, should we treat belief like a gamble—and choose the option with the best payoff?

Topics discussed:

  • The philosophical dilemma of whether belief in God should be based on reason, faith, or skepticism.
  • Major positions on the existence of God: rational theism, fideism, deism, atheism, non-theism, and agnosticism.
  • The life and intellectual background of Blaise Pascal, mathematician, theologian, and pioneer of probability theory.
  • The historical origins of probability theory, including early work by gamblers like Gerolamo Cardano and Pascal’s correspondence with Fermat.
  • The concept of expected utility and how decision theory evaluates rational choices under uncertainty.
  • The structure of Pascal’s Wager, which argues that believing in God maximizes expected value because of the possibility of infinite reward.
  • Mathematical objections to the wager, including the Many Gods objection and the Zero Probability objection.
  • Psychological and ethical objections, including doxastic involuntarism, the moral integrity objection, and the Many Hells objection.
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The Luxury of VirtueBy R. C. M. García