The Logic of Risk

LOR8: Propensity in play, from quantum mechanics to one-shot events


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In this episode of The Logic of Risk, we continue our discussion on the propensity interpretation of probability. We start by showing how Popper thought propensity could cope with the peculiar uncertainty of quantum mechanics, as well as with the problem of one-shot events, which frequentism could not handle.
We then briefly touch Gillies' view, and introduce the reference class problem we will encounter often in our future conversations.
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The Logic of RiskBy Pasquale Cirillo